Analytics
Yes is at 65.5%, up 32 points from 34% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 81% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 34% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 65.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
$333.33 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.57K since listing. The order book holds $1.65K, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 108 trades, $2.01K bought Yes and $1.83K bought No; the largest was a $1.34K buy of No at 59.0¢.
The largest Yes position is QR1 with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is norrisfan with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 91.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 34.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 65.5% |
"Beat Luke Littler" is a live Netflix special scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 7:00 PM GMT (3:00 PM ET). On the show, amateur challengers each play a single leg of 501 against Luke Littler for a £501,000 prize. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any contestant beats Luke Littler on the live broadcast of "Beat Luke Littler". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A contestant beats Luke Littler if they win a leg of darts against him and the show officially declares the contestant the winner of that leg on its live broadcast. The leg is judged under the format the show uses, including any handicap, head start, or modified rules the show applies. Any person other than Luke Littler who plays a leg against him on the official broadcast counts as a contestant. Legs played in qualifying tournaments, practice, warm-ups, or any other setting outside the official live broadcast will not count. A leg that the show voids or orders replayed before a winner is declared will not count. Retractions, disqualifications, or prize forfeitures made after a contestant has been officially declared the winner of a leg will not be considered, and whether the contestant receives the prize money will not be considered. If "Beat Luke Littler" is cancelled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if Luke Littler does not play a leg on the broadcast, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official live broadcast of "Beat Luke Littler" on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-contestant-beat-luke-littler
| AJSV |
| No |
| 485.2 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | Yes | 462.3 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 449.98 |
| Lunar Scout BE29 | Yes | 178.15 |
| dontshowmyname | Yes | 100 |
| Zypf7 | No | 100 |
| Haradwaith | No | 97.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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