Analytics
hping02 is down $368.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | No | 459 | $0.770 | $341.96 | -$11.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 15:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 04:40 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 04:40 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 15:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.14K and losing ones cost $632.84 across the latest 50 settled positions. 68% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $134.26 on “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?” (Yes); the largest loss, $146.56 on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 585 markets. Its open positions are worth $8.04K across 240 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 312 |
| $0.930 |
| $288.6 |
| -$1.56 |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 312 | $0.940 | $285.48 | -$7.8 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 398 | $0.610 | $256.71 | +$14.1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 234 | $0.910 | $232.95 | +$20.01 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 234 | $0.840 | $228.5 | +$31.94 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 312 | $0.540 | $207.48 | +$39 |
 Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Yes | 156 | $0.940 | $150.46 | +$3.82 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 156 | $0.609 | $148.98 | +$54.05 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 156 | $0.920 | $148.2 | +$4.68 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 188 | $0.860 | $147.58 | -$14.1 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 249.5 | $0.456 | $135.98 | +$22.33 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 312 | $0.685 | $121.68 | -$92.04 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 155 | $0.768 | $120.13 | +$1.07 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 125 | $0.840 | $115.63 | +$10.63 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 155.99 | $0.530 | $113.09 | +$30.42 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 130.38 | $0.809 | $112.77 | +$7.28 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 123.2 | $0.834 | $112.73 | +$9.99 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 121.42 | $0.790 | $112.31 | +$16.39 |
 Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | Yes | 123.99 | $0.860 | $108.49 | +$1.86 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 147 | $0.665 | $108.05 | +$10.33 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 156 | $0.507 | $103.74 | +$24.7 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 117 | $0.762 | $101.79 | +$12.66 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 468 | $0.570 | $95.94 | -$170.82 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 116.79 | $0.562 | $94.02 | +$28.4 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
