Analytics
Trading ended on 21 Sep 2026 with Yes at 93.4%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 77 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.2% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 70% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 96.5%; a month before, 98%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 93.4% on 30 Oct 2026.
Manuela Schwesig is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?”, ahead of Enrico Schult at 5%.
$38.5K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is 3648393489047 with 2.1K shares; the largest No position is wowbagger-prefect with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 81.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 6:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 87.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 93.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wowbagger-prefect | No | 3.3K |
| 3648393489047 | Yes | 2.05K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.73K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Ministerpräsident will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Ministerpräsident takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-ministerprasident-of-mecklenburg-vorpommern-1786117615441
| Matzemichel | Yes | 1.65K |
| knrad | Yes | 1.11K |
| balthazar | Yes | 605 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 580.48 |
| StarMaster | Yes | 498.38 |
| Smart-Lava | Yes | 478.37 |
| alpha-bonds | Yes | 308.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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