Analytics
Trading ended on 21 Sep 2026 with Yes at 2.1%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 78 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 23 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2%; a month before, 2%.
Leif-Erik Holm ranks third of the 7 outcomes in “Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?”. Manuela Schwesig leads at 93.4%; Enrico Schult is at 5%.
$2.77K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is GarthBroadmore with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 96.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 6:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 9.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.73K |
| GarthBroadmore | Yes | 1.3K |
| 3648393489047 | No | 645.26 |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Ministerpräsident will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Ministerpräsident takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-ministerprasident-of-mecklenburg-vorpommern-1786117615441
| balthazar | Yes | 605 |
| aliiz | Yes | 240.11 |
| a5533 | Yes | 79.7 |
| BlondBeast | No | 79.48 |
| fiter | Yes | 67.67 |
| donthackme | Yes | 40.2 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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