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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.644 | $4.28K | +$1.06K |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee?No | sell | 250 | $0.714 | $178.4 | 5h ago |
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| No |
| 3K |
| $0.718 |
| $2.81K |
| +$650 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.653 | $2.59K | +$637.19 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.969 | $2.47K | +$52.02 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 2K | $0.887 | $2K | +$224 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.406 | $1.6K | +$176.15 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3K | $0.582 | $1.57K | -$170.14 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.5K | $0.868 | $1.47K | +$170.59 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.910 | $1.4K | +$37.5 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.830 | $1.29K | +$45 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1.5K | $0.511 | $1.25K | +$485.36 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2K | $0.430 | $989.95 | +$130.03 |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.4K | $0.686 | $986.68 | +$27 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | No | 1K | $0.959 | $980 | +$21 |
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.920 | $975 | +$55 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.421 | $974.36 | +$552.68 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.603 | $966.82 | +$363.28 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 1K | $0.965 | $964.5 | -$0.5 |
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.940 | $964.5 | +$24.5 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.870 | $945.01 | +$75 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.920 | $935 | +$15 |
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.820 | $935 | +$115 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.900 | $925 | +$25 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.805 | $924.09 | +$38.07 |
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 1K | $0.870 | $910 | +$40 |
| sell |
| 80 |
| $0.541 |
| $43.3 |
| 5h ago |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No | sell | 606.18 | $0.369 | $223.75 | 5h ago |
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.650 | $260 | 5h ago |
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 200.88 | $0.325 | $65.35 | 6h ago |
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 122 | $0.255 | $31.1 | 6h ago |
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.595 | $148.72 | 6h ago |
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 141.5 | $0.441 | $62.39 | 6h ago |
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.384 | $95.99 | 7h ago |
Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.021 | $8.21 | 7h ago |
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.466 | $233.03 | 7h ago |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | 7h ago |
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.850 | $425 | 7h ago |
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | 7h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.348 | $347.74 | 8h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.540 | $134.89 | 8h ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.650 | $649.99 | 8h ago |
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.065 | $9.8 | 8h ago |
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 300 | $0.849 | $254.82 | 9h ago |
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.207 | $31.09 | 9h ago |
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 250 | $0.720 | $180 | 9h ago |
| Shelton vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 36.5 AND Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5) | buy | 293.66 | $0.329 | $96.76 | 9h ago |
Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.711 | $177.85 | 9h ago |
Will Victor Mellor be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.265 | $66.26 | 9h ago |
Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.760 | $190.12 | 9h ago |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.776 | $232.87 | 9h ago |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.072 | $18.11 | 9h ago |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.047 | $11.7 | 9h ago |
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Yes | buy | 179.27 | $0.386 | $69.22 | 9h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 300.76 | $0.590 | $177.45 | 10h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.408 | $122.44 | 10h ago |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.500 | $75 | 10h ago |
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 248 | $0.500 | $124 | 10h ago |
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.540 | $3.24 | 10h ago |
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 12.4 | $0.526 | $6.52 | 10h ago |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08? | buy | 813.74 | $0.237 | $192.65 | 10h ago |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 1K | $0.780 | $780.27 | 11h ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 999.99 | $0.140 | $140 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 490 | $0.648 | $317.3 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 286 | $0.580 | $165.88 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.400 | $239.9 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 282.54 | $0.387 | $109.41 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 869.3 | $0.609 | $529.28 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 831.11 | $0.523 | $434.87 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.469 | $539.49 | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.690 | $1.04K | 11h ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.580 | $870.01 | 11h ago |
Antoine Semenyo: Anytime GoalscorerYes | buy | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | 11h ago |