Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
Miguel262144 has made $3.06K on Polymarket.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
No chart history is available for this wallet yet.
The Sources tab shows which records are available.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 155 | $0.630 | $129.43 | +$31.78 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% | $71.72 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-18 09:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 00:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 00:12 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 9,395 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.67K across 142 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.96K |
| $0.434 |
| $107.98 |
| -$744.15 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 166 | $0.787 | $105.41 | -$25.21 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 106 | $0.676 | $100.17 | +$28.51 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 142.99 | $0.667 | $83.65 | -$11.71 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 418 | $0.203 | $68.97 | -$15.73 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 55 | $0.640 | $51.15 | +$15.95 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | No | 53.78 | $0.270 | $51.14 | +$36.62 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 345.79 | $0.488 | $50.14 | -$118.66 |
 Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55 | $0.730 | $49.23 | +$9.08 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 55 | $0.550 | $48.13 | +$17.88 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 55 | $0.474 | $45.93 | +$19.86 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? | Yes | 43.99 | $0.630 | $42.72 | +$15 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 122 | $0.544 | $42.09 | -$24.27 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | No | 55 | $0.626 | $40.15 | +$5.72 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 55 | $0.670 | $38.78 | +$1.93 |
 Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026? | No | 44 | $0.730 | $38.28 | +$6.16 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | No | 55 | $0.710 | $35.75 | -$3.3 |
 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Milwaukee Brewers | 66 | $0.543 | $33 | -$2.86 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 131.99 | $0.260 | $32.34 | -$1.98 |
 US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | No | 33 | $0.540 | $32.31 | +$14.49 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 55 | $0.570 | $32.18 | +$0.83 |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | No | 33 | $0.654 | $32.13 | +$10.54 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 33 | $0.740 | $30.2 | +$5.78 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 32.99 | $0.310 | $30.19 | +$19.96 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
