Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 400.83 | $0.249 | $183.78 | +$84.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 11 | $0.740 | $8.14 | 13h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.96K |
| $0.434 |
| $127.61 |
| -$724.52 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 213.71 | $0.538 | $107.39 | -$7.61 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 166 | $0.360 | $65.57 | +$5.81 |
 Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | No | 55 | $0.720 | $54.97 | +$15.37 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 100 | $0.580 | $49.5 | -$8.5 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 345.79 | $0.488 | $46.68 | -$122.12 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 261.98 | $0.178 | $44.14 | -$2.53 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 55 | $0.550 | $41.8 | +$11.55 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 131.99 | $0.260 | $38.28 | +$3.96 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 66 | $0.640 | $36.63 | -$5.61 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 55 | $0.640 | $36.58 | +$1.38 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 55 | $0.500 | $35.75 | +$8.25 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 43.99 | $0.740 | $35.39 | +$2.84 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | No | 53.78 | $0.270 | $34.69 | +$20.17 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | No | 36 | $0.200 | $34.02 | +$26.82 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | Yes | 33 | $0.510 | $32.98 | +$16.15 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 66 | $0.710 | $32.67 | -$14.19 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 33 | $0.420 | $32.64 | +$18.78 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.670 | $32.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 98.99 | $0.316 | $31.68 | +$0.44 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 201.59 | $0.407 | $30.54 | -$51.46 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 33 | $0.740 | $29.54 | +$5.12 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 44 | $0.390 | $29.26 | +$12.1 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 33 | $0.610 | $28.88 | +$8.75 |
| buy |
| 11 |
| $0.370 |
| $4.07 |
| 13h ago |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.600 | $19.8 | 21h ago |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 22 | $0.750 | $16.5 | 1d ago |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | 1d ago |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. AthleticsToronto Blue Jays | buy | 5.2 | $0.620 | $3.22 | 1d ago |
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersTexas Rangers | buy | 22 | $0.470 | $10.34 | 1d ago |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox | buy | 5.75 | $0.560 | $3.22 | 1d ago |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City RoyalsArizona Diamondbacks | buy | 22 | $0.520 | $11.44 | 1d ago |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers | buy | 22 | $0.660 | $14.52 | 1d ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta BravesTampa Bay Rays | buy | 22 | $0.490 | $10.78 | 1d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | buy | 17.29 | $0.740 | $12.79 | 1d ago |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox | buy | 55 | $0.580 | $31.9 | 1d ago |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersMinnesota Twins | buy | 22 | $0.450 | $9.9 | 1d ago |
| New York Mets vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins | buy | 22 | $0.550 | $12.1 | 1d ago |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore OriolesCleveland Guardians | buy | 22 | $0.470 | $10.34 | 1d ago |
| Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies | buy | 33 | $0.590 | $19.47 | 1d ago |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco GiantsSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 33 | $0.460 | $15.18 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.260 | $8.58 | 2d ago |
| Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | sell | 54 | $0.280 | $15.12 | 2d ago |
| Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | sell | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | 2d ago |
 Will CA River Plate vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.240 | $1.44 | 2d ago |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres | buy | 33 | $0.620 | $20.46 | 2d ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas RangersTampa Bay Rays | sell | 47 | $0.230 | $10.81 | 2d ago |
| New York Mets vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins | buy | 22 | $0.540 | $11.88 | 2d ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas RangersTampa Bay Rays | buy | 22 | $0.460 | $10.12 | 2d ago |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox | buy | 33 | $0.580 | $19.14 | 2d ago |
| Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 55 | $0.650 | $35.75 | 2d ago |
| Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 55 | $0.650 | $35.75 | 2d ago |
| New York Yankees vs. San Diego PadresNew York Yankees | sell | 22 | $0.160 | $3.52 | 2d ago |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado RockiesSt. Louis Cardinals | sell | 33 | $0.160 | $5.28 | 2d ago |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. AthleticsToronto Blue Jays | buy | 33 | $0.650 | $21.45 | 3d ago |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 44 | $0.620 | $27.28 | 3d ago |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers | buy | 22 | $0.550 | $12.1 | 3d ago |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox | buy | 33 | $0.610 | $20.13 | 3d ago |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies | buy | 33 | $0.605 | $19.97 | 3d ago |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansDetroit Tigers | buy | 11 | $0.420 | $4.62 | 3d ago |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates | buy | 44 | $0.650 | $28.6 | 3d ago |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies | buy | 33 | $0.510 | $16.83 | 3d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 16.99 | $0.730 | $12.4 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.740 | $20.72 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 33.01 | $0.740 | $24.43 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.740 | $24.42 | 3d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.176 | $5.81 | 3d ago |
| Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 44 | $0.670 | $29.48 | 4d ago |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox | buy | 22 | $0.550 | $12.1 | 4d ago |
| New York Yankees vs. San Diego PadresNew York Yankees | buy | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | 4d ago |
| Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersAthletics | buy | 11 | $0.360 | $3.96 | 4d ago |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado RockiesSt. Louis Cardinals | buy | 33 | $0.540 | $17.82 | 4d ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas RangersTampa Bay Rays | buy | 25 | $0.520 | $13 | 4d ago |