Analytics
Yes is at 88%, up 28 points from 60% when the market opened on 4 Oct 2026.
Across the 24 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 85%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 73.5% on 6 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?”.
$147.34 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.35K since listing. The order book holds $15.67K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 200 trades, $2.71K bought Yes and $287.91 bought No; the largest was a $1.08K buy of Yes at 65.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Mustafalafel with 400 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 345. Ten wallets hold 86.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 60.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 88.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mustafalafel | Yes | 400 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 345.49 |
| KimchiCapital | Yes | 98.51 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George Washington (CVN-73) departs the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Washington will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS George Washington left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS George Washington left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS George Washington left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.” Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uss-george-washington-departs-centcom-byptptpt
| vengo |
| No |
| 82.9 |
| Miguel262144 | Yes | 55 |
| Mahnic | Yes | 52.98 |
| Yackydud3 | No | 41 |
| Carabao | No | 40 |
| AboutTime | Yes | 39 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | No | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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