Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 98.11 | $0.610 | $75.06 | +$15.21 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 48m ago |
 |
| No |
| 65.41 |
| $0.910 |
| $62.46 |
| +$2.94 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 63.68 | $0.940 | $61.67 | +$1.82 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026? | No | 60.3 | $0.899 | $59.27 | +$5.06 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 63.68 | $0.930 | $58.9 | -$0.32 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 66.46 | $0.890 | $58.82 | -$0.33 |
 Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026? | No | 60.77 | $0.972 | $58.58 | -$0.46 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 66.46 | $0.890 | $58.15 | -$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 68.54 | $0.870 | $54.15 | -$5.48 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | 63.7 | $0.940 | $53.51 | -$6.34 |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026? | No | 129.71 | $0.133 | $52.53 | +$35.29 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | No | 64.37 | $0.920 | $52.46 | -$6.76 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 110.96 | $0.540 | $50.38 | -$9.54 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 82.11 | $0.546 | $41.46 | -$3.34 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | No | 62.72 | $0.949 | $39.95 | -$19.57 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 91.66 | $0.305 | $38.04 | +$10.04 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 281.25 | $0.160 | $37.97 | -$7.03 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 299.2 | $0.150 | $37.4 | -$7.48 |
 Will MrBeast hit 140.5 billion views by September 30? | Yes | 30.06 | $0.978 | $28.51 | -$0.89 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 72.73 | $0.820 | $24.37 | -$35.27 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.81 | $0.740 | $16.79 | -$6.01 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 107.14 | $0.280 | $15.48 | -$14.52 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $12.5 | +$4.5 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 100.95 | $0.247 | $11.36 | -$13.61 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.105 | $11 | -$10 |
| buy |
| 10.64 |
| $0.470 |
| $5 |
| 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | 1h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 63.68 | $0.930 | $59.22 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 91.66 | $0.305 | $28 | 3d ago |
| Will MrBeast hit 140 billion views by September 30?Yes | sell | 30.05 | $0.992 | $29.8 | 3d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?No | sell | 33.75 | $0.999 | $33.72 | 3d ago |
| Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?No | buy | 60.77 | $0.972 | $59.04 | 3d ago |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.956 | $57.34 | 3d ago |
| Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.980 | $59.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.964 | $0.44 | 4d ago |
 Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?No | sell | 62.86 | $0.960 | $60.36 | 4d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?No | buy | 66.03 | $0.900 | $59.4 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 92.81 | $0.645 | $59.9 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 92.81 | $0.640 | $59.4 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 65 | $0.430 | $27.95 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.72 | $0.996 | $35.58 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.12 | $0.998 | $34.05 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.13 | $0.877 | $29.92 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.72 | $0.823 | $29.4 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.517 | $16.54 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.540 | $23.22 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.903 | $29.44 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?No | buy | 43.22 | $0.690 | $29.82 | 5d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?No | buy | 33.76 | $0.870 | $29.37 | 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No | buy | 64.37 | $0.920 | $59.22 | 5d ago |
| Will MrBeast hit 139.5 billion views by September 30?Yes | sell | 30.05 | $0.990 | $29.75 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.7 | $0.992 | $32.44 | 6d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?No | sell | 86 | $0.879 | $75.59 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.010 | $0.4 | 6d ago |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.8 | $0.245 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 6d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 32.71 | $0.900 | $29.44 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.59 | $0.971 | $29.7 | 6d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 278 | $0.229 | $63.79 | 6d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 278.61 | $0.107 | $29.92 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.59 | $0.985 | $34.07 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 66.46 | $0.890 | $59.15 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.7 | $0.910 | $29.76 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.288 | $13.23 | 7d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | buy | 65.41 | $0.910 | $59.52 | 7d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.969 | $29.07 | 7d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.990 | $29.7 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 46.66 | $0.490 | $22.86 | 7d ago |