Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 786.23 | $0.732 | $566.09 | -$9.33 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.640 | $4.51 | 53m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.05K |
| $0.319 |
| $456.37 |
| +$121.94 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | Yes | 645.66 | $0.637 | $442.28 | +$31.12 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 523.3 | $0.811 | $426.49 | +$2.17 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 435 | $0.720 | $384.98 | +$71.8 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 299.99 | $0.750 | $282.59 | +$57.6 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 346.96 | $0.315 | $216.85 | +$107.66 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.320 | $166 | +$38 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 537.86 | $0.378 | $145.22 | -$57.86 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 320.41 | $0.421 | $110.54 | -$24.29 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 148.4 | $0.708 | $97.94 | -$7.12 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.720 | $95.5 | +$23.5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.740 | $83.75 | -$101.25 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 57.13 | $0.496 | $49.99 | +$21.67 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | Yes | 215.62 | $0.278 | $40.97 | -$19.03 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | Yes | 1.56K | $0.300 | $39.78 | -$429.02 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 213.44 | $0.405 | $19.21 | -$67.34 |
 Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 103.85 | $0.300 | $13.5 | -$17.65 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.85 | $0.901 | $10.66 | -$0.02 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | No | 15.96 | $0.500 | $10.13 | +$2.15 |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 12 | $0.370 | $2.88 | -$1.56 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.240 | $2.48 | +$1.28 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.02 | $0.987 | $2.01 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 2.53 |
| $0.640 |
| $1.62 |
| 53m ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.54 | $0.640 | $12.51 | 53m ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.28 | $0.640 | $34.74 | 53m ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.850 | $1.05 | 53m ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 2.91 | $0.850 | $2.47 | 54m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 100.17 | $0.690 | $69.12 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 10.36 | $0.685 | $7.1 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 84.3 | $0.683 | $57.59 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 12.54 | $0.670 | $8.4 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 33.48 | $0.650 | $21.76 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 253.77 | $0.615 | $156.12 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 8.54 | $0.610 | $5.21 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 12.49 | $0.605 | $7.56 | 9h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.86 | $0.685 | $47.2 | 14h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 373.43 | $0.698 | $260.78 | 19h ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 14.9 | $0.080 | $1.19 | 1d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 32.99 | $0.730 | $24.08 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.84 | $0.797 | $81.99 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 56.13 | $0.475 | $26.67 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.51 | $0.430 | $2.8 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 18.86 | $0.430 | $8.11 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 24.62 | $0.412 | $10.14 | 2d ago |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.85 | $0.902 | $10.68 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 29.67 | $0.690 | $20.47 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.500 | $51 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 101.75 | $0.393 | $40 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 35.13 | $0.292 | $10.26 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.22 | $0.864 | $44.26 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 143.87 | $0.792 | $113.98 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.2 | $0.747 | $71.09 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.45 | $0.740 | $18.83 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 110.34 | $0.290 | $32 | 3d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 11.25 | $0.160 | $1.8 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 15.28 | $0.670 | $10.24 | 4d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 27.19 | $0.160 | $4.35 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.871 | $78.35 | 5d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 59.67 | $0.170 | $10.15 | 5d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 18.6 | $0.820 | $15.25 | 5d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.292 | $5.16 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.47 | $0.850 | $25.05 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.84 | $0.310 | $2.74 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.29 | $0.310 | $3.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.57 | $0.824 | $38.38 | 5d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 24.87 | $0.300 | $7.46 | 5d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 126.92 | $0.260 | $33 | 5d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 81.08 | $0.253 | $20.48 | 5d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.250 | $28 | 5d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.250 | $29 | 5d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.250 | $28 | 5d ago |