Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | No | 6.75K | $0.087 | $695.31 | +$109.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.93K |
| $0.396 |
| $608.28 |
| -$156 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 461 | $0.841 | $412.6 | +$25.06 |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 430.26 | $0.911 | $383.36 | -$8.79 |
 Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 615.7 | $0.530 | $246.28 | -$79.96 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | No | 294.99 | $0.331 | $227.14 | +$129.52 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | No | 593.99 | $0.278 | $193.05 | +$28.11 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? | No | 990.84 | $0.186 | $188.26 | +$3.59 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | No | 167.33 | $0.829 | $165.33 | +$26.67 |
 Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.07K | $0.100 | $162.53 | +$56.41 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | No | 396 | $0.247 | $156.42 | +$58.74 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.540 | $155 | +$47 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 3.15K | $0.114 | $115.15 | -$243.38 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.44K | $0.063 | $112.62 | -$290.96 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.29K | $0.164 | $111.44 | -$593.36 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | No | 2.15K | $0.120 | $107.39 | -$150.14 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 812.56 | $0.371 | $93.44 | -$208.2 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | No | 1.68K | $0.078 | $85.69 | -$46.11 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting? | Yes | 1.42K | $0.118 | $56.9 | -$110.73 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | No | 57.65 | $0.530 | $35.17 | +$4.61 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300.4 | $0.283 | $34.55 | -$50.5 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 98 | $0.235 | $24.01 | +$0.97 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 23.58 | $0.760 | $20.63 | +$2.71 |
 GTA VI released by November 30? | No | 175.61 | $0.085 | $16.68 | +$1.79 |
 Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | No | 17.19 | $0.520 | $15.55 | +$6.62 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.200 |
| $20 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 13.28 | $0.201 | $2.67 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 39.16 | $0.210 | $8.22 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 13.34 | $0.261 | $3.48 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.262 | $1.74 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 58.24 | $0.263 | $15.32 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | sell | 17.66 | $0.264 | $4.66 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.840 | $1.95 | Feb 13, 2026 |