Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 907.91 | $0.687 | $749.02 | +$124.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 3h ago |
| No |
| 1.6K |
| $0.640 |
| $743.42 |
| -$279.65 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | No | 438.82 | $0.529 | $351.06 | +$118.99 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 398.93 | $0.715 | $237.37 | -$47.93 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | No | 251.29 | $0.679 | $173.39 | +$2.73 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | No | 141.56 | $0.770 | $124.57 | +$15.57 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 140 | $0.650 | $121.8 | +$30.8 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 140.38 | $0.769 | $118.27 | +$10.27 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 105.88 | $0.850 | $101.54 | +$11.54 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31? | No | 70 | $0.686 | $62.65 | +$14.65 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 393.97 | $0.164 | $29.55 | -$34.95 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 40.54 | $0.740 | $27.36 | -$2.64 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 25 | $0.704 | $22.75 | +$5.15 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? | No | 23.1 | $0.850 | $19.4 | -$0.23 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 16 | $0.787 | $13.12 | +$0.53 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 6.54 | $0.650 | $5.69 | +$1.44 |
 Will Netflix win the most Emmys? | No | 5 | $0.840 | $4.96 | +$0.76 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3.22 | +$0.22 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | No | 1.96 | $0.710 | $1.41 | +$0.02 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.660 | $0.8 | -$5.8 |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys? | Yes | 17.33 | $0.727 | $0.43 | -$12.17 |
| buy |
| 6.83 |
| $0.851 |
| $5.82 |
| 13d ago |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-26? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? | buy | 5.53 | $0.694 | $3.84 | 14d ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? AND Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23? | buy | 2.61 | $0.334 | $0.87 | 17d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.872 | $3 | 18d ago |
 Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.640 | $9 | 18d ago |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22? AND Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22? | buy | 13.67 | $0.492 | $6.73 | 18d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.97 | 18d ago |
| Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?Yes | buy | 12.33 | $0.730 | $9 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 26d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 11.69 | $0.770 | $9 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | 26d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | 26d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 25.33 | $0.750 | $19 | 26d ago |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?No | sell | 24.17 | $0.953 | $23.03 | 26d ago |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 26d ago |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.940 | $14.09 | 26d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?No | buy | 13.93 | $0.649 | $9.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.649 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 105.88 | $0.850 | $90 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No | buy | 11.69 | $0.770 | $9 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?No | buy | 23.1 | $0.850 | $19.64 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | buy | 140 | $0.650 | $91 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 20 | $0.935 | $18.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 20 | $0.934 | $18.68 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 20 | $0.933 | $18.66 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 11.85 | $0.932 | $11.04 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.680 | $1.23 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 106.15 | $0.650 | $69 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 152.31 | $0.650 | $99 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.857 | $9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 39.34 | $0.520 | $20.46 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | buy | 31 | $0.614 | $19.03 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | buy | 20 | $0.613 | $12.26 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | buy | 31.42 | $0.732 | $23 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 32.35 | $0.680 | $22 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 101.47 | $0.680 | $69 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | buy | 26.76 | $0.710 | $19 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | buy | 36.62 | $0.710 | $26 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 37.31 | $0.670 | $25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?No | sell | 56.9 | $0.920 | $52.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No | buy | 66.23 | $0.770 | $51 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?No | sell | 56.89 | $0.900 | $51.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |