Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | No | 4.1K | $0.427 | $3.77K | +$2.01K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 465 | $0.850 | $395.25 | 7h ago |
|
| No |
| 3.33K |
| $0.740 |
| $3.28K |
| +$816.57 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 2.5K | $0.980 | $2.46K | +$13.75 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 2.2K | $0.561 | $1.66K | +$425.75 |
 Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.43K | $0.847 | $1.04K | -$171.82 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.857 | $950.5 | +$93 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.900 | $905 | +$5 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.820 | $871.27 | +$45.33 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.280 | $787.5 | +$87.5 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 467.2 | $0.963 | $461.13 | +$11.23 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1.44K | $0.288 | $403.17 | -$11.34 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 352.65 | $0.500 | $350.36 | +$174.03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 356.42 | $0.890 | $336.82 | +$19.6 |
 Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | Yes | 500 | $0.429 | $287.5 | +$73.13 |
| Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | $0.950 | $244 | +$6.5 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 258.05 | $0.862 | $239.99 | +$17.54 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 343.75 | $0.110 | $228.59 | +$190.78 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 232.98 | $0.827 | $222.38 | +$29.64 |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 500 | $0.130 | $215 | +$150 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Yes | 205.67 | $0.420 | $196.62 | +$110.2 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 204.67 | $0.900 | $183.18 | -$1.02 |
| Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | No | 607.39 | $0.851 | $173.11 | -$343.98 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 199.99 | $0.690 | $166.99 | +$29 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.941 | $158.75 | -$76.5 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 204.22 | $0.700 | $158.27 | +$15.32 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.780 |
| $15.6 |
| 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.700 | $105 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 97.44 | $0.740 | $72.11 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.960 | $1.86K | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 33.33K | $0.040 | $1.33K | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 292.75 | $0.430 | $125.88 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 4.33K | $0.413 | $1.79K | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 185 | $0.390 | $72.15 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.440 | $26.4 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 954.88 | $0.410 | $391.5 | 3d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown | buy | 333 | $0.243 | $80.95 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 702.73 | $0.810 | $569.21 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 95 | $0.200 | $19 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETDown | buy | 333 | $0.314 | $104.41 | 5d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 150 | $0.119 | $17.85 | 5d ago |
| Will Drake release a new album by September 30?No | buy | 340 | $0.621 | $211.18 | 5d ago |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Yes | buy | 254.88 | $0.428 | $108.97 | 5d ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.3 | $0.580 | $4.81 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 420.95 | $0.590 | $248.36 | 10d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.469 | $16.4 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 16.32 | $0.340 | $5.55 | 10d ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 106.58 | $0.405 | $43.22 | 12d ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 88.62 | $0.557 | $49.37 | 15d ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 655.93 | $0.851 | $558.41 | 15d ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 25.02 | $0.780 | $19.52 | 15d ago |
 LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LRN PlayoffsFuego | buy | 17.14 | $0.590 | $10.11 | 16d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.750 | $2.19K | 17d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | sell | 195 | $0.733 | $142.94 | 17d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | sell | 609.63 | $0.741 | $451.67 | 17d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 854.1 | $0.739 | $631.18 | 17d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 370.26 | $0.580 | $214.75 | 17d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | 17d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | buy | 827.9 | $0.508 | $420.49 | 17d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group DAlliance | sell | 12.12 | $0.350 | $4.24 | 17d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group DAlliance | sell | 80 | $0.440 | $35.2 | 17d ago |
 Monterrey Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola BartunkovaAntonia Ruzic | sell | 665 | $0.150 | $99.75 | 17d ago |
 Seahawks vs. TitansTitans | sell | 254 | $0.220 | $55.88 | 17d ago |
 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | sell | 472.52 | $0.830 | $392.19 | 18d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 18d ago |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy | buy | 1.09K | $0.480 | $524.92 | 19d ago |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA | sell | 901.39 | $0.510 | $459.71 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit | buy | 333 | $0.760 | $253.08 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit | buy | 1.13K | $0.560 | $630.16 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International PlayoffsNigma Galaxy | buy | 706.29 | $0.640 | $452.03 | 20d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Falcons | sell | 246.41 | $0.710 | $174.95 | 20d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Falcons | sell | 1.47K | $0.460 | $677.1 | 20d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 25 | $0.850 | $21.25 | 20d ago |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 168K | $0.001 | $168 | 20d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | sell | 501.13 | $0.390 | $195.44 | 20d ago |