Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 18 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 24 Jul 2026.
Across the 91 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 77.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 19 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 10%. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 77.5% on 19 Aug 2026.
$40.42K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $15.62K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $737.25 bought Yes and $12.27K bought No.
The largest Yes position is singularityman with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is agagyu with 4.2K. Ten wallets hold 83.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 24 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 26.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| agagyu | No | 4.23K |
| singularityman | Yes | 2.29K |
| M2sx92kljs42 | No | 1.11K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act enters into force and becomes legally operative between the two governments between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-saudi-nuclear-deal-enters-into-force-in-2026-20260722230956508
| m33zy |
| Yes |
| 778 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 456.08 |
| kittycat67 | Yes | 442 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 381.11 |
| Newshound | Yes | 340 |
| Gaujmalietis | No | 300 |
| rocky42011 | Yes | 299.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
