Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 259.64 | $0.385 | $97.24 | -$2.76 |
 Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9PM ETDown | buy | 334 | $0.898 | $300 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 181.82 |
| $0.550 |
| $90 |
| -$10 |
 Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 774.62 | $0.129 | $73.59 | -$26.41 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | Yes | 256.41 | $0.390 | $73.08 | -$26.92 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 63.83 | $0.940 | $59.68 | -$0.32 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 159.86 | $0.313 | $43.16 | -$6.84 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 50.44 | $0.773 | $39.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 36.17 | $0.940 | $33.82 | -$0.18 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 37.12 | $0.835 | $28.77 | -$2.23 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | Yes | 100.43 | $0.378 | $27.62 | -$10.38 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 31.54 | $0.888 | $27.6 | -$0.4 |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 61.43 | $0.553 | $27.33 | -$6.67 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 42.43 | $0.657 | $27.16 | -$0.72 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 20.53 | $0.779 | $16.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 31.4 | $0.464 | $14.29 | -$0.28 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 13.44 | $0.899 | $12.42 | +$0.34 |
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 48.27 | $0.284 | $12.28 | -$1.41 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10.48 | $0.859 | $8.96 | -$0.04 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.89 | $0.900 | $8.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 12.11 | $0.660 | $7.95 | -$0.05 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 10.99 | $0.752 | $6.43 | -$1.84 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | No | 19.88 | $0.503 | $6.26 | -$3.74 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 8.43 | $0.479 | $5.27 | +$1.23 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 10.35 | $0.471 | $5.12 | +$0.24 |
 Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | Yes | 28.02 | $0.194 | $4.62 | -$0.81 |
| sell |
| 68.44 |
| $0.070 |
| $4.79 |
| 4h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8PM ETDown | buy | 328.16 | $0.914 | $300 | 5h ago |
| Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No | sell | 0.54 | $0.720 | $0.39 | 5h ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.110 | $0.44 | 9h ago |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes | sell | 18.07 | $0.113 | $2.05 | 10h ago |
| Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.850 | $0.02 | 11h ago |
| Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.850 | $0.61 | 11h ago |
 Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 11AM ETDown | buy | 319.15 | $0.940 | $300 | 14h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.810 | $0.24 | 14h ago |
 Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 2.18 | $0.025 | $0.05 | 14h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 4.8 | $0.120 | $0.58 | 14h ago |
 Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.420 | $1.23 | 14h ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.860 | $1.3 | 14h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 7.96 | $0.240 | $1.91 | 14h ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.93 | $0.310 | $4.01 | 14h ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 13.62 | $0.790 | $10.76 | 14h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.77 | $0.180 | $0.32 | 14h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.31 | $0.180 | $0.42 | 15h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10AM ETDown | buy | 362.05 | $0.829 | $300 | 15h ago |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 19.47 | $0.228 | $4.43 | 15h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 8.87 | $0.180 | $1.6 | 15h ago |
| Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes | sell | 2.99 | $0.030 | $0.09 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 33.24 | $0.440 | $14.63 | 15h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 9AM ETDown | buy | 334.31 | $0.897 | $300 | 16h ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 21.91 | $0.780 | $17.09 | 16h ago |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.7 | $0.863 | $6.65 | 16h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.250 | $0.32 | 16h ago |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 6.56 | $0.650 | $4.26 | 17h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | sell | 19.38 | $0.690 | $13.37 | 18h ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6AM ETDown | buy | 319.15 | $0.940 | $300 | 19h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.260 | $0.02 | 20h ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3AM ETUp | buy | 315.79 | $0.950 | $300 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.250 | $0.08 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.250 | $0.16 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.250 | $0.01 | 22h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.250 | $0.02 | 22h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 42.2 | $0.640 | $27.01 | 23h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.969 | $2.45 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.13 | $0.920 | $3.8 | 23h ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.88 | $0.510 | $4.53 | 23h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.750 | $5.35 | 23h ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 18.49 | $0.800 | $14.79 | 23h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 16.19 | $0.520 | $8.42 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10PM ETDown | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9PM ETUp | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | 1d ago |
 Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 4.21 | $0.730 | $3.07 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 231.64 | $0.015 | $3.53 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.15 | $0.720 | $4.43 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.82 | $0.550 | $5.95 | 1d ago |