Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.63K | $0.858 | $5.27K | +$433.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 171.85 | $0.980 | $168.41 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.59K |
| $0.961 |
| $2.55K |
| +$52.17 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 2.39K | $0.952 | $2.23K | -$41.81 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 2.29K | $0.906 | $1.96K | -$117.01 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.56K | $0.927 | $1.49K | +$44.09 |
 Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | No | 848.68 | $0.747 | $834.68 | +$200.74 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 945.47 | $0.679 | $817.83 | +$175.97 |
| Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 763.18 | $0.690 | $663.97 | +$137.48 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 481.31 | $0.675 | $421.15 | +$96.3 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 626.3 | $0.562 | $391.44 | +$39.42 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.300 | $285 | -$15 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | No | 245.65 | $0.980 | $241.97 | +$1.23 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 178.88 | $0.840 | $161.89 | +$11.63 |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 93.1 | $0.970 | $93.01 | +$2.7 |
 Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | No | 60.51 | $0.934 | $59.75 | +$3.23 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | Yes | 242.6 | $0.099 | $9.22 | -$14.88 |
| Will there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | No | 70.98 | $0.106 | $4.97 | -$2.53 |
| buy |
| 411.35 |
| $0.700 |
| $287.95 |
| 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | sell | 203.01 | $0.104 | $21.11 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 134.43 | $0.920 | $123.68 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.700 | $87.5 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 159.66 | $0.088 | $14.05 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 297.13 | $0.660 | $196.11 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.660 | $112.2 | 2d ago |
| Will there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Yes | buy | 129.9 | $0.136 | $17.64 | 2d ago |
| Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No | buy | 60.51 | $0.934 | $56.52 | 2d ago |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 184 | $0.586 | $107.85 | 2d ago |
| Will there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50.98 | $0.108 | $5.5 | 2d ago |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 442.3 | $0.552 | $244.17 | 2d ago |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 198.9 | $0.943 | $187.62 | 2d ago |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 197.19 | $0.830 | $163.67 | 2d ago |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 92.7 | $0.954 | $88.47 | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 187.19 | $0.910 | $170.34 | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 93.1 | $0.970 | $90.31 | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 545 | $0.959 | $522.8 | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.930 | $934.65 | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.957 | $1.62K | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 952 | $0.690 | $656.75 | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 520 | $0.920 | $478.4 | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 2.14K | $0.963 | $2.06K | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.909 | $924.27 | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.929 | $65.97 | 8d ago |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 457.53 | $0.949 | $434.2 | 8d ago |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Xiaomi?No | buy | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | 16d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 211.48 | $0.782 | $165.38 | 20d ago |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | 23d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 234.44 | $0.008 | $1.88 | 28d ago |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 234.44 | $0.009 | $2.11 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 249.99 | $0.140 | $35 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 475 | $0.250 | $118.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.250 | $250 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.250 | $250 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | sell | 1.21K | $0.019 | $22.33 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | sell | 200 | $0.075 | $15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 267.61 | $0.461 | $123.45 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 85.01 | $0.659 | $56.02 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.98 | $0.659 | $4.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.642 | $38.52 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 92.95 | $0.660 | $61.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 213.09 | $0.684 | $145.75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 266.16 | $0.998 | $265.63 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 329 | $0.698 | $229.64 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.79 | $0.983 | $12.57 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 847 | $0.983 | $832.6 | Jul 25, 2026 |