Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 2.73K | $0.795 | $2.39K | +$218.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.410 | $61.5 | 1d ago |
| Yes |
| 1.36K |
| $0.627 |
| $801.14 |
| -$50.26 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 1.47K | $0.403 | $676.94 | +$83.4 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 496.61 | $0.763 | $495.12 | +$116.09 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.880 | $354 | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 300 | $0.916 | $273.15 | -$1.65 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 904.34 | $0.376 | $266.78 | -$73.03 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | No | 257.05 | $0.638 | $228.78 | +$64.83 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 250.3 | $0.817 | $205.25 | +$0.85 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 350 | $0.227 | $77 | -$2.5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 820.93 | $0.136 | $69.78 | -$41.47 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 150 | $0.400 | $68.25 | +$8.25 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 270.19 | $0.205 | $63.5 | +$8.13 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | Yes | 747.55 | $0.102 | $52.33 | -$24.14 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 110 | $0.352 | $44.55 | +$5.78 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.167 | $30 | -$3.42 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 136.7 | $0.190 | $29.39 | +$3.42 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | Yes | 114.79 | $0.568 | $28.7 | -$36.48 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 429.67 | $0.104 | $27.93 | -$16.78 |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes| sell |
| 150 |
| $0.885 |
| $132.7 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.875 | $131.27 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.859 | $64.43 | 2d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 46.95 | $0.440 | $20.66 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.843 | $67.44 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.853 | $341.23 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | 3d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 71.77 | $0.470 | $33.73 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.580 | $43.5 | 3d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 129.98 | $0.470 | $61.09 | 3d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | sell | 84.79 | $0.760 | $64.44 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 99.2 | $0.580 | $57.54 | 4d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 91.66 | $0.190 | $17.42 | 4d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.460 | $26.22 | 4d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.540 | $21.6 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.185 | $7.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 41.7 | $0.227 | $9.47 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 184.88 | $0.419 | $77.39 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.167 | $33.42 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.409 | $122.64 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Yes | buy | 447.55 | $0.104 | $46.47 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.187 | $74.8 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 249.13 | $0.720 | $179.37 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 316.96 | $0.385 | $121.91 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.810 | $32.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 174.2 | $0.500 | $87.1 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 169.99 | $0.181 | $30.83 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 230.6 | $0.376 | $86.71 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 450.95 | $0.822 | $370.67 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 772.32 | $0.900 | $695.04 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 436.35 | $0.817 | $356.32 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 355.39 | $0.631 | $224.3 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 676 | $0.597 | $403.4 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.660 | $264 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.492 | $19.7 | 14d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No | sell | 250 | $0.997 | $249.25 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?No | buy | 277 | $0.164 | $45.31 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 146.41 | $0.994 | $145.53 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | sell | 60.49 | $0.710 | $42.95 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.923 | $92.3 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?No | sell | 203.44 | $0.992 | $201.81 | Feb 24, 2026 |