Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

politicsResolved

No, settled Sep 22, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.6M

Resolved

Settled

Sep 22, 2026 UTC

Topic roomIran–Israel

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	173.71K	0.0%	$0
balthazar	Yes	61.15K	46.1%	$28.19K	Sep 22, 7:07 PM UTC
spamburglar	Yes	28.1K	91.1%	$25.59K
StupidMonkeyyy	Yes	21.74K	83.4%	$18.12K
anoin123	Yes	14.54K	66.1%	$9.62K
Golden Beacon 67A6	Yes	6.48K	0.4%	$28.8	Sep 22, 7:00 PM UTC
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	5.84K	0.0%	$0
881112	Yes	5.21K	10.6%	$552.75
HerrieDavis	Yes	4.9K	47.8%	$2.34K
On.The.Spectrum	Yes	4.76K	32.7%	$1.56K
Neon Horizon 946D	Yes	3.66K	54.0%	$1.98K
polio123	Yes	3.31K	38.1%	$1.26K	Sep 22, 7:00 PM UTC
BigMackyG	Yes	3.17K	39.6%	$1.25K
Huludubu	Yes	3.07K	74.7%	$2.29K
loser124	Yes	2.37K	46.0%	$1.09K	Sep 22, 6:57 PM UTC
yuhyuhyuhy352352	Yes	2.12K	14.3%	$303.45
wac45	Yes	2K	1.9%	$37.7
Tenebrus7	Yes	1.95K	90.6%	$1.77K
monty86	Yes	1.8K	91.3%	$1.63K
mapleleafgrief	Yes	1.1K	1.9%	$19.99	Sep 22, 7:17 PM UTC
sucuk-mit-ei	Yes	1.06K	10.1%	$106.26
totti82	Yes	1.01K	66.2%	$670.94
0x8712	Yes	1K	21.6%	$216
0opj4kuu4xb2	Yes	957.8	88.6%	$840.05
BikesAreTheBikes	Yes	937.23	86.1%	$807.06
JAMJAMJAM4	Yes	831	88.3%	$734.17
pink11	Yes	778.08	81.1%	$630.86
zj420	Yes	697	86.1%	$600
Frezhboiimatt	Yes	641	85.8%	$550
TouchdownTerryDunk	Yes	518.81	77.1%	$400
ProfessionalPunter	Yes	499.99	69.9%	$349.49
d1k21	Yes	420.02	85.6%	$359.71
Indigo Signal 2966	Yes	407.12	0.0%	$0
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	384.57	62.2%	$239.38
Odd-Bubble	Yes	380.67	78.8%	$300
Neon Atlas F332	Yes	373.78	59.3%	$221.77	Sep 22, 6:01 PM UTC
Golden Oracle 5C05	Yes	330.69	76.3%	$250
chexburger	Yes	323.14	68.7%	$222
Jade Summit 4C52	Yes	313.42	70.2%	$220
TouchDownThana	Yes	313.08	26.6%	$83.13
pupmesee	Yes	300	29.9%	$89.7
spacexstar	Yes	282.36	85.7%	$241.97
Golden Meteor D99B	Yes	266.51	5.4%	$14.25
FlippingTables	Yes	248.4	89.4%	$222.03
SlimPickin	Yes	242.35	1.6%	$3.88	Sep 22, 7:08 PM UTC
mamboNB5	Yes	238	42.0%	$99.96
khonikdev	Yes	224.71	30.5%	$68.54
jackli003	Yes	200	0.2%	$0.4
cooljit	Yes	165	81.0%	$133.65
Dolev1303	Yes	151.41	31.7%	$48
muchuan	No	150	22.5%	$33.75
defoncetout	Yes	126.96	78.8%	$100
Studious-Rail	Yes	117.92	84.8%	$100
Tchingsze	Yes	114.3	87.5%	$100
trunkSmashLock	Yes	113.83	85.0%	$96.8
Cy666	Yes	113.38	88.2%	$100
jlpande	No	112	70.1%	$78.51
ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile	Yes	104.6	78.0%	$81.61
Polli4ka	Yes	100	1.7%	$1.7	Sep 22, 7:13 PM UTC
SusanWarrenHR	Yes	100	90.2%	$90.2
sanduspace	Yes	100	0.2%	$0.2
BerkshireHahaway	Yes	100	89.0%	$89
MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus	Yes	100	67.9%	$67.9
joember	Yes	100	64.0%	$64
cuckadoodledoo	Yes	100	83.5%	$83.5
LlamaBanana	Yes	100	55.4%	$55.4
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed	Yes	97.68	9.3%	$9.14	Sep 22, 6:57 PM UTC
Analista.	Yes	89.99	4.4%	$3.96
bilingweitong	No	88	70.1%	$61.69
Quiet Tide 57C5	Yes	85.79	4.8%	$4.1
GlennQuagmire	Yes	84.21	89.1%	$75
Slowbathroom	Yes	67	79.2%	$53.1
Khinkal	Yes	62.32	4.8%	$3
PPMT	Yes	60.02	69.8%	$41.92
Ilansc	No	59.52	8.4%	$5
TeraMax	Yes	55.55	19.8%	$11
canadefengye	No	55	70.1%	$38.56
a787	Yes	54.15	55.4%	$30
tgrtdh	Yes	52.63	86.6%	$45.55
Creative-Pasta	Yes	50	9.9%	$4.95
Mustafalafel	Yes	50	68.6%	$34.3
DW1	Yes	49.99	87.9%	$43.93
Aleksei-Ivanovich	Yes	49.99	75.1%	$37.54
BAB1Z	Yes	48.65	69.5%	$33.8
GuyFromTinder	Yes	47.43	22.0%	$10.43
momomo12	Yes	46.44	69.0%	$32.05
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	46.15	92.4%	$42.65
robinhoodx	Yes	45.77	90.4%	$41.38
bakayo33 - 9934	Yes	45.02	73.8%	$33.22
jiaojiaoc	No	45	70.1%	$31.55
666688888	Yes	44.78	67.0%	$30
boring999	Yes	44.76	39.9%	$17.86
asterley	Yes	43.64	26.6%	$11.61
Silver Beacon B3F1	Yes	40.16	25.9%	$10
unclefei028	Yes	40	85.2%	$34.08
yessirskis	Yes	37.22	80.6%	$30
Indigo Harbor 2741	Yes	35.79	83.8%	$29.99
Previous-Edge	Yes	35.47	93.7%	$33.24
Keen Scout 120F	Yes	35.24	85.1%	$29.99
Bold Scout 2ED0	Yes	35.2	85.2%	$29.99
.heart	Yes	31.24	64.5%	$20.15
raxonwood	Yes	30.01	35.9%	$10.77
Emerald Lynx BDA1	Yes	30.01	84.9%	$25.48
Najhi	Yes	30	34.3%	$10.29
judgeee	Yes	28.51	87.7%	$25
yehj	Yes	27.43	72.9%	$20
Silver Lynx 3015	Yes	27	7.0%	$1.89
crayven	Yes	26.66	75.0%	$20
Finished-Pad	Yes	26.15	76.5%	$20
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	26	10.5%	$2.74
Artyos	Yes	24.99	11.9%	$2.97
Immaterial-Advantage	Yes	24.05	81.5%	$19.6
KiraHK1	Yes	23.25	78.7%	$18.31
Innocent-Terrapin	Yes	23.03	87.0%	$20.03
SDODNDPD	Yes	22.83	87.6%	$20
lizhuangxiansheng	Yes	22.68	88.2%	$20
TronOG	Yes	21.77	66.7%	$14.52
Ridgy	Yes	21.4	70.1%	$15
Lerix	Yes	21.39	74.8%	$16
Cosmic Sphinx 8353	Yes	20.65	36.8%	$7.6
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	20.1	27.3%	$5.49
Azure Atlas 5BCC	Yes	19.12	68.7%	$13	Sep 22, 5:01 PM UTC
guladdin	No	16.67	12.0%	$2
tornad1	Yes	16.27	92.2%	$15
bertross	Yes	15	50.0%	$7.5
Whimsical-Harmony	Yes	15	11.4%	$1.71
Official-Coral	Yes	14.93	6.7%	$1
TheMoePathfinder	Yes	14.18	77.6%	$11
Noonejore	Yes	13.99	14.3%	$2
itsKey	Yes	13.77	72.6%	$10
thrhdhj55	Yes	13.59	88.3%	$12
StormRazer	Yes	13.53	84.0%	$11.36
JaGouChat	Yes	13.21	75.8%	$10.01
redene	Yes	13.21	89.0%	$11.75
Scented-Liar	Yes	12.99	86.0%	$11.17
Artistic-Salami	Yes	12.94	77.3%	$10	Sep 22, 4:23 PM UTC
=nvhwuhv	Yes	12.82	85.8%	$11
Imperturbable-Hero	Yes	12.75	81.1%	$10.34
Grounded-Laugh	Yes	12.62	85.4%	$10.78
wtfguys	Yes	12.54	87.7%	$11
acidhack	Yes	12.54	87.7%	$11
ewkvwe6e	Yes	11.71	85.4%	$10
KriptoBar	Yes	11.53	86.7%	$10
someoneinmoon	Yes	11.4	87.7%	$10
starziu	Yes	11.31	88.4%	$10
gkanor	Yes	11.3	88.5%	$10
Both-Abundance	Yes	11.22	89.1%	$10
bgytng	Yes	11.11	90.0%	$10
Miserly-Sweater	Yes	10.74	86.0%	$9.24
PAM-VECTOR-LOGIC	Yes	10.71	81.0%	$8.68	Sep 22, 5:18 PM UTC
sohy31	Yes	10.68	93.6%	$10
Embarrassed-Junk	Yes	10.27	85.4%	$8.77
sandstone9579	Yes	10.06	21.4%	$2.16
dontshowmyname	Yes	10	13.6%	$1.36	Sep 22, 6:39 PM UTC
Sudden-Maximum	Yes	10	20.4%	$2.04
lemonmina	Yes	10	83.5%	$8.35
Nowayfolding	Yes	10	35.0%	$3.5
safs433	Yes	10	93.6%	$9.36
Rowdy-Evening-Universe	Yes	10	85.0%	$8.5
Laura53125	Yes	10	92.1%	$9.21
anonymousey	Yes	9.86	74.9%	$7.39
TalyxionPro	Yes	9.42	57.2%	$5.39
bob-2026	Yes	9.21	4.0%	$0.37
Dorotheaa	Yes	9.07	88.2%	$8
PolyEGG	Yes	8.59	31.1%	$2.67
Hefty-Downturn	Yes	7.42	67.4%	$5
Neon Orbit 4A4F	Yes	7.4	70.9%	$5.25
Lihong62	Yes	7.1	70.1%	$4.98
Bibbro	Yes	7	71.4%	$5
BABA-ATLAS	Yes	6.71	89.4%	$6
Neon Orbit 2DDB	No	6.32	7.9%	$0.5
tweetmaster	Yes	6	24.9%	$1.49
shemeputao	Yes	6	89.5%	$5.37
moonrise-clump	Yes	5.92	84.4%	$5
tradingpresident	Yes	5.87	85.2%	$5
elliot.	Yes	5.56	89.9%	$5
LASJD2N	Yes	5.5	28.0%	$1.54
enderwnd	Yes	5.28	64.4%	$3.4
Conpink	Yes	5.11	91.8%	$4.69
BLG.viper	Yes	5.05	29.3%	$1.48
martinzzz	Yes	5.01	70.3%	$3.52
beastarah1057	No	5	46.3%	$2.32
yuyuyuyuy	No	5	93.7%	$4.69
alphahyperqks	No	5	45.2%	$2.26
megadevgigaman312	No	5	46.4%	$2.32
Ideal-Arch	Yes	5	91.4%	$4.57
darkdev123iceai	Yes	5	48.4%	$2.42
datahunter36018.mccarthy	Yes	5	39.5%	$1.98
storm.simon.mckinney	Yes	5	53.9%	$2.7
wolfpro	Yes	5	53.8%	$2.69
novamastertechunit	Yes	5	38.2%	$1.91
hamid1919	Yes	5	91.8%	$4.59
cryptify4321991hall	Yes	5	54.9%	$2.75
cronshawgriffin	Yes	5	53.8%	$2.69
EDJJHFH981	Yes	5	57.4%	$2.87
tigerhunter580.oliver	Yes	5	39.7%	$1.99
chandadumarsuk	Yes	5	62.7%	$3.14
corecoreironpro	Yes	5	55.0%	$2.75
nightai.hartd	Yes	5	49.7%	$2.49
stormhunter175josephine	Yes	5	33.4%	$1.67
kobylskisongfxz	Yes	5	56.6%	$2.83
storm99.bertha.newman	Yes	5	53.7%	$2.69
neocore.wate	Yes	5	62.8%	$3.14
Ellizory	Yes	5	90.5%	$4.53
frostzx1998caldwell	Yes	5	37.8%	$1.89
ice13371985.abigail.robbins	Yes	5	53.9%	$2.7
light2221	Yes	5	62.8%	$3.14
light177blaisewest	Yes	5	48.9%	$2.45
parrella	Yes	5	36.0%	$1.8
mcmahandebiu	Yes	5	55.9%	$2.8
denso	Yes	5	2.8%	$0.14
ultratig	Yes	5	62.7%	$3.14
cryptunit743n	Yes	5	55.0%	$2.75
verafeilfx	Yes	5	33.4%	$1.67
skyjodi	Yes	5	33.2%	$1.66
cleme1	Yes	5	35.8%	$1.79
graciela1034	Yes	5	61.6%	$3.08
Mojito9	Yes	5	2.0%	$0.1
minarallegria	Yes	5	36.7%	$1.84
ghostmakerdragon1337	Yes	5	48.4%	$2.42
Lunar Meteor EBD6	Yes	4.57	22.0%	$1
Lavincey	Yes	4.32	90.6%	$3.91
Yuanzhi	Yes	4.31	88.1%	$3.8
laperousejessika	No	4.1	46.3%	$1.9
storm4941996b	No	4.09	46.4%	$1.9
neomarydataunit	Yes	4.09	53.8%	$2.2
pulsehunter21	Yes	4.09	53.8%	$2.2
degolladomya2164	Yes	4.09	53.8%	$2.2
betbetbetsahur	Yes	4.05	24.7%	$1
steel579stormer	Yes	4.04	56.9%	$2.3
Cobalt Quasar 2960	Yes	4.01	33.9%	$1.36
alphamakerharrymartin	Yes	4.01	54.9%	$2.2
dragonzone99.damon	Yes	3.99	55.2%	$2.2
byte25corequeen	Yes	3.99	55.2%	$2.2
ceceliavidovichvip	Yes	3.89	56.6%	$2.2
wickwirexiaoukpro	Yes	3.89	56.6%	$2.2
pixelrunner424	Yes	3.83	57.4%	$2.2
Cloudy-Gelatin	Yes	3.8	26.3%	$1
Solar Scout 23F2	No	3.75	30.7%	$1.14
Dreary-Inbox	Yes	3.69	75.8%	$2.8
Simple-Volume	Yes	3.47	86.4%	$3
Scaly-Arena	Yes	3.39	3.9%	$0.13
deondhondt	Yes	3.29	33.4%	$1.1
ironrunnerstormzx970	Yes	3.29	33.4%	$1.1
Azure Pioneer 7D06	Yes	3.26	92.3%	$3
neolord409.tracey	Yes	3.16	34.8%	$1.1
sunkaeopro1051	No	3.14	60.6%	$1.9
evelynemurel	Yes	3.13	36.7%	$1.15
Indigo Pioneer 1817	No	3.11	32.4%	$1
pixel22phantomqueen	Yes	3.1	48.4%	$1.5
shadownovapilot416	Yes	3.1	48.4%	$1.5
dataifyeag	Yes	3.08	61.7%	$1.9
jakupcaklillafx	Yes	3.08	61.7%	$1.9
osaileaureliapro	Yes	3.08	61.7%	$1.9
tigercore100.alberta	Yes	3.04	37.8%	$1.15
Phony-Flung	Yes	3.04	75.7%	$2.3
hyper20	Yes	3.03	62.8%	$1.9
thrasherfx1350	Yes	3.03	62.8%	$1.9
fire.felici23	Yes	3.03	62.8%	$1.9
pixellordwright	Yes	3.01	49.8%	$1.5
sky128dragonmaster	Yes	3.01	49.8%	$1.5
shadowxhawker	Yes	3.01	49.8%	$1.5
pixelfrosthunter	Yes	3.01	38.2%	$1.15
chenxhal	Yes	3.01	89.5%	$2.69
Scientific-Notion	Yes	3.01	89.5%	$2.69
qifengf	Yes	3	89.3%	$2.68
hufows	Yes	3	89.3%	$2.68
chnqnni	Yes	3	89.3%	$2.68
nanxinguo	Yes	3	90.0%	$2.7
jianguia	Yes	3	90.0%	$2.7
damazi	Yes	3	90.0%	$2.7
chengjuyi	Yes	3	90.0%	$2.7
liufeiyi	Yes	3	90.0%	$2.7
keliandere	Yes	3	90.0%	$2.7
zuogerenwu	Yes	3	90.0%	$2.7
wuwang	Yes	3	89.4%	$2.68
xvchenghaov	Yes	3	89.4%	$2.68
xvguanghan	Yes	3	89.4%	$2.68
linzhixing	Yes	3	89.4%	$2.68
jubaota	Yes	3	89.1%	$2.67
suchang	Yes	2.99	89.5%	$2.68
awggaw	Yes	2.99	89.5%	$2.68
lihaoyin	Yes	2.99	89.5%	$2.68
suhangfu	Yes	2.99	89.5%	$2.68
sammiecas	Yes	2.99	36.8%	$1.1
jessaha	Yes	2.98	36.9%	$1.1
KrisKremberg	Yes	2.96	84.5%	$2.5
rajivlakhanpal	Yes	2.96	33.8%	$1
fluxnovaifyme	Yes	2.91	39.5%	$1.15
thealldredavip	Yes	2.9	39.7%	$1.15
ghostcoreeagle	Yes	2.9	39.7%	$1.15
Incomparable-Ashtray	Yes	2.88	86.7%	$2.5
AYAHA	Yes	2.57	38.9%	$1
Zigzag-Commitment	Yes	2.5	85.5%	$2.14
nisile	Yes	2.5	89.1%	$2.23
jiaotailang	Yes	2.5	89.1%	$2.23
xueshane	Yes	2.5	89.1%	$2.23
qiangeming	Yes	2.5	89.1%	$2.23
Exalted-Fifth-Guitar	Yes	2.4	90.0%	$2.16
mjh1979	Yes	2.36	84.7%	$2
Fortitudo	Yes	2.3	86.8%	$2
Christina-J	Yes	2.19	91.5%	$2
Alienated-Knickers	Yes	2.18	90.0%	$1.96
Nicksha077	Yes	2.11	48.3%	$1.02
xvzhiyuan	Yes	2	89.4%	$1.79
RosaWater	Yes	1.94	86.6%	$1.68
Tricky-Grant	Yes	1.82	90.0%	$1.64
Shameless-Moat	Yes	1.69	75.8%	$1.28
Abandoned-Shoemaker	Yes	1.64	90.0%	$1.48
Slushy-Clef	Yes	1.58	75.8%	$1.2
Forsaken-Club	Yes	1.46	86.7%	$1.27
Cobalt Summit 0565	Yes	1.44	70.1%	$1
Cold-Copper	Yes	1.33	85.5%	$1.14
TheDude98	Yes	1.32	75.8%	$1
Bold Falcon 2ADB	Yes	1.24	93.4%	$1.15
queenshaniqua	Yes	1.2	91.6%	$1.1
PoliticsTrading	Yes	1.17	86.7%	$1
nanofarmer	Yes	1.15	86.6%	$1
Grouchy-Plate	Yes	1.15	86.7%	$1
Haythamj	Yes	1.14	87.4%	$1
Koyuu	Yes	1.14	87.4%	$1
Serega-pro	Yes	1.13	88.2%	$1
gregor2	Yes	1.13	88.7%	$1
Scrawny-Wrinkle	Yes	1.11	90.0%	$1
teget	Yes	1.11	90.4%	$1
knoww	Yes	1.11	90.4%	$1
Swift Pulse 5F55	Yes	1.1	74.6%	$0.82
Alitah	Yes	1.09	91.4%	$1
Royal Orbit E104	Yes	1.03	34.5%	$0.35
luobote	Yes	0.99	37.6%	$0.37
Chegildek	No	0.97	74.7%	$0.72
Cobalt Quasar 2960	No	0.92	66.6%	$0.61
Crimson Horizon 466A	No	0.8	54.5%	$0.44
pestanimal	Yes	0.78	50.0%	$0.39
smlptm	Yes	0.74	38.9%	$0.29
effortravioli	No	0.73	8.1%	$0.06
Bob323	Yes	0.66	31.9%	$0.21
Slimy-Coin	Yes	0.57	36.0%	$0.21
G9vQK5Gcyx	No	0.54	8.9%	$0.05
monoclith	Yes	0.53	26.8%	$0.14
Crimson Horizon 466A	Yes	0.5	43.9%	$0.22
Royal Vector E768	No	0.46	74.1%	$0.34
Solar Voyager A81E	Yes	0.45	30.0%	$0.14
Pure-Hint	Yes	0.41	64.0%	$0.26	Sep 22, 4:52 PM UTC
JesusIsRey	Yes	0.39	24.9%	$0.1	Sep 22, 6:12 PM UTC
charay12	Yes	0.33	88.2%	$0.29
Pointed-Pronunciation	No	0.32	26.9%	$0.09
haijun	No	0.3	91.0%	$0.27
leehome	No	0.24	23.9%	$0.06
69dsfs	Yes	0.2	18.9%	$0.04
poposub	Yes	0.13	5.5%	$0.01
FB87dB8	No	0.1	11.8%	$0.01

352 of 352 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$173.3K
muchuan	$150
jlpande	$112

Topic room

Read this market in context

Iran–Israel oddsWhat are the odds of war between Israel and Iran?

Research behind the numbers

How well Polymarket prices match outcomes

Analytics