Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.820 | $46.75 | +$5.75 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.740 | $6.66 | 24d ago |
 |
| No |
| 50.1 |
| $0.516 |
| $38.83 |
| +$12.98 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 46.71 | $0.580 | $37.14 | +$10.04 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 24.99 | $0.119 | $23.1 | +$20.13 |
 Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.200 | $7.4 | +$5.8 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.670 | $6.2 | +$1.51 |
 GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch | Yes | 20 | $0.600 | $5.6 | -$6.4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.320 | $5.4 | -$7.4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.797 | $5.25 | -$1.92 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9 | $0.740 | $4.01 | -$2.66 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | Yes | 14.99 | $0.120 | $3.82 | +$2.02 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.090 | $2.52 | -$4.68 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | Yes | 20.69 | $0.110 | $1.76 | -$0.52 |
| Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.300 | $0.25 | -$1.55 |
| Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.070 | $0.06 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 9 |
| $0.797 |
| $7.17 |
| 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.670 | $4.69 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.110 | $2.28 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.440 | $10.12 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in August?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.560 | $16.24 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.981 | $7.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.028 | $0.56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.760 | $0.81 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.967 | $4.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | sell | 13 | $0.370 | $4.81 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Marxist" in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Death to America" in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Antifa" in August?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 0.19 | $0.760 | $0.14 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will France vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.335 | $1.68 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 5 | $0.859 | $4.3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.120 | $1.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.550 | $4.95 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.119 | $2.97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "NATO" 10+ times during press conference?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.260 | $6.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.360 | $11.52 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "State of the Art" in July?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.268 | $12.35 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | sell | 38 | $0.830 | $31.54 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.550 | $5.45 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 18.25 | $0.036 | $0.66 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.620 | $0.66 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.730 | $5.84 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jul 4, 2026 |