Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 159.57 | $0.940 | $153.83 | +$3.83 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 107.3 |
| $0.932 |
| $98.98 |
| -$1.02 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.921 | $47.88 | +$1.83 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 44.78 | $0.670 | $41.4 | +$11.4 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89.44 | $0.727 | $40.7 | -$24.3 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 101.17 | $0.741 | $38.95 | -$36.05 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 35.17 | $0.853 | $32.69 | +$2.69 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30.9 | +$0.9 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30.17 | +$0.17 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 23.08 | $0.650 | $20.54 | +$5.54 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 31.25 | $0.640 | $12.38 | -$7.63 |
| buy |
| 69.44 |
| $0.720 |
| $50 |
| 22d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 53.44 | $0.955 | $51.04 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 23d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | 24d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 35.17 | $0.853 | $30 | 24d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.670 | $30 | 24d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 15.56 | $0.900 | $14 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | 25d ago |
 LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyones Legend | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 42.25 | $0.710 | $30 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.999 | $32.22 | 26d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 16.37 | $0.611 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | 27d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | 27d ago |
 Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.610 | $18.3 | 29d ago |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | sell | 31.91 | $0.996 | $31.78 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 44.12 | $0.680 | $30 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.930 | $30 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.090 | $0.81 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.79 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaInvictus Gaming | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 7?No | buy | 20.05 | $0.998 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 7?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 7?No | buy | 25.15 | $0.994 | $25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4?No | buy | 55.75 | $0.990 | $55.19 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.954 | $0.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.954 | $0.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.954 | $0.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 3?No | buy | 38 | $0.998 | $37.92 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 40.43 | $0.742 | $30 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 52.53 | $0.742 | $39 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports | sell | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |