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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.18K | $0.850 | $1.01K | +$6.02 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 570.13 | $0.877 | $500 | 9d ago |
 |
| No |
| 961.54 |
| $0.780 |
| $943.75 |
| +$193.75 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.520 | $813.46 | +$213.46 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 890.59 | $0.786 | $723.6 | +$23.6 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 777 | $0.643 | $703.18 | +$203.18 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.29K | $0.544 | $610.54 | -$89.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 641.03 | $0.780 | $535.26 | +$35.26 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 570.13 | $0.877 | $529.93 | +$29.93 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 529.41 | $0.850 | $523.85 | +$73.85 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 568.18 | $0.880 | $502.84 | +$2.84 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 511.36 | $0.880 | $478.12 | +$28.13 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 502.38 | $0.796 | $464.7 | +$64.7 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 519.87 | $0.769 | $462.68 | +$62.68 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 530.57 | $0.754 | $423.93 | +$23.93 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 454.55 | $0.880 | $411.36 | +$11.36 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 439.56 | $0.910 | $389.01 | -$10.99 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 852.11 | $0.352 | $386.43 | +$86.43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 714.29 | $0.490 | $375 | +$25 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 380.67 | $0.788 | $348.89 | +$48.89 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 361.45 | $0.830 | $318.07 | +$18.07 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 483.87 | $0.620 | $316.94 | +$16.94 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 342.1 | $0.877 | $313.02 | +$13.02 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 342.57 | $0.876 | $305.23 | +$5.23 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.750 | $302 | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 937.5 | $0.320 | $267.19 | -$32.81 |
| buy |
| 439.56 |
| $0.910 |
| $400 |
| 12d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 852.11 | $0.352 | $300 | 12d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 675.29 | $0.889 | $600 | 12d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 380.67 | $0.788 | $300 | 13d ago |
 Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 857.3 | $0.817 | $700 | 14d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.880 | $400 | 14d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 938.08 | $0.898 | $842.8 | 14d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 502.38 | $0.796 | $400 | 14d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 561.79 | $0.974 | $547.18 | 15d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.190 | $300 | 15d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 944.74 | $0.840 | $793.58 | 16d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 890.59 | $0.786 | $700 | 17d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 661.76 | $0.680 | $450 | 17d ago |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.813 | $871.27 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 529.41 | $0.850 | $450 | 17d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 574.71 | $0.963 | $553.71 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 937.5 | $0.320 | $300 | 17d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 636.36 | $0.550 | $350 | 18d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 342.57 | $0.876 | $300 | 18d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 568.18 | $0.880 | $500 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 511.36 | $0.880 | $450 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No | sell | 357.14 | $0.981 | $350.35 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 991.43 | $0.950 | $941.86 | 19d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.750 | $300 | 20d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.750 | $500 | 21d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.840 | $300 | 21d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 641.03 | $0.780 | $500 | 22d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 530.57 | $0.754 | $400 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 465.12 | $0.860 | $400 | 22d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 686.22 | $0.874 | $600 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 361.45 | $0.830 | $300 | 23d ago |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 182.93 | $0.820 | $150 | 25d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 342.1 | $0.877 | $300 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | 26d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.563 | $600 | 26d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 716.59 | $0.419 | $300 | 26d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 568.18 | $0.880 | $500 | 26d ago |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 824.17 | $0.920 | $758.24 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 1.18K | $0.963 | $1.14K | 28d ago |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 937.33 | $0.747 | $700 | 29d ago |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | buy | 608.11 | $0.740 | $450 | 29d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 512.77 | $0.585 | $300 | 29d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 877.19 | $0.570 | $500 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 697.67 | $0.860 | $600 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.570 | $300 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 680.6 | $0.441 | $300 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 280.95 | $0.991 | $278.42 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.988 | $548.88 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 564.15 | $0.973 | $548.8 | Aug 8, 2026 |