Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 964.91 | $0.570 | $786.4 | +$236.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.850 | $500 | 9d ago |
 |
| No |
| 836.85 |
| $0.597 |
| $715.5 |
| +$215.5 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 641 | $0.858 | $592.6 | +$42.6 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30? | No | 555.56 | $0.900 | $527.78 | +$27.78 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 588.24 | $0.850 | $511.76 | +$11.77 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 723.75 | $0.760 | $510.24 | -$39.76 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.5K | $0.008 | $18.75 | -$81.24 |
| buy |
| 555.56 |
| $0.900 |
| $500 |
| 9d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | buy | 723.75 | $0.760 | $550 | 9d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 641 | $0.858 | $550 | 9d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 638.29 | $0.983 | $627.66 | 9d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 581.39 | $0.991 | $576.16 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 517.24 | $0.999 | $516.72 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 836.85 | $0.597 | $500 | 24d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 750.86 | $0.699 | $525 | 24d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 964.91 | $0.570 | $550 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.991 | $594.6 | 25d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 625 | $0.996 | $622.5 | 25d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 542.17 | $0.830 | $450 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 638.3 | $0.470 | $300 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 581.4 | $0.860 | $500 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 625 | $0.720 | $450 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.750 | $450 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 517.24 | $0.870 | $450 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 621.62 | $0.740 | $460 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.810 | $450 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.060 | $75 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 960.76 | $0.520 | $500 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 334.88 | $0.806 | $270 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No | buy | 437.62 | $0.686 | $300 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 426.83 | $0.820 | $350 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 2.56K | $0.351 | $899.05 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.46K | $0.266 | $388.14 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 16.35 | $0.334 | $5.46 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 491.36 | $0.508 | $249.74 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 600 | $0.750 | $450 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.840 | $600 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 507.71 | $0.788 | $400 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 750 | $0.800 | $600 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.661 | $700 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 511.36 | $0.973 | $497.48 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | sell | 617.28 | $0.979 | $604.32 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 348.84 | $0.860 | $300 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 256.41 | $0.780 | $200 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.700 | $700 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 705.13 | $0.780 | $550 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 617.28 | $0.810 | $500 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 511.36 | $0.880 | $450 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 956.28 | $0.990 | $946.83 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 366.62 | $0.818 | $300 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 544.04 | $0.551 | $300 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 394.79 | $0.633 | $250 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.37K | $0.951 | $1.3K | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 254.24 | $0.590 | $150 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?No | buy | 285.72 | $0.700 | $200 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 479.7 | $0.730 | $350 | May 27, 2026 |