Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 2.83K | $0.884 | $2.57K | +$74.42 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.611 | $61.1 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.27K |
| $0.880 |
| $2.15K |
| +$148.54 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.05K | $0.894 | $1.91K | +$83.55 |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 1.32K | $0.894 | $1.28K | +$101.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 865.81 | $0.940 | $839.4 | +$25.54 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 705.88 | $0.850 | $603.53 | +$3.53 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 675.36 | $0.837 | $594.32 | +$29.32 |
 Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 363.32 | $0.826 | $343.33 | +$43.34 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 320.29 | $0.937 | $312.44 | +$12.44 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 564.16 | $0.408 | $307.47 | +$77.47 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 330.69 | $0.756 | $304.07 | +$54.07 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 495.08 | $0.745 | $299.52 | -$69.48 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 331.43 | $0.700 | $256.86 | +$24.86 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 273.14 | $0.915 | $256.75 | +$6.75 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 304.35 | $0.866 | $238.92 | -$24.61 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 317.21 | $0.630 | $217.29 | +$17.29 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.180 | $186.67 | -$23.33 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 174.42 | $0.430 | $121.22 | +$46.22 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 110.29 | $0.680 | $90.99 | +$15.99 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 203.03 | $0.660 | $74.11 | -$59.89 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 167.79 | $0.149 | $54.45 | +$29.45 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.03K | $0.033 | $46.92 | -$53.08 |
 Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.050 | $4.55 | -$45.45 |
| buy |
| 113.64 |
| $0.880 |
| $100 |
| 2d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 119.6 | $0.920 | $110 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 110.69 | $0.903 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 113 | $0.885 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 113.4 | $0.882 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 114.28 | $0.875 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.900 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.810 | $202.5 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 1.86K | $0.999 | $1.86K | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 302.74 | $0.888 | $268.89 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 122.61 | $0.816 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 127.47 | $0.784 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.81 | $0.766 | $19 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 157.75 | $0.634 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 159.47 | $0.627 | $100 | 13d ago |
 Will Marvell Tech (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.760 | $80 | 14d ago |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 473.26 | $0.423 | $200 | 17d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 330.69 | $0.756 | $250 | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.730 | $87.6 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.730 | $87.6 | 20d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 335.78 | $0.999 | $335.44 | 22d ago |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 167.79 | $0.149 | $25 | 28d ago |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.330 | $30 | 28d ago |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 174.42 | $0.430 | $75 | 28d ago |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 110.29 | $0.680 | $75 | 28d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.73 | $0.517 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.14 | $0.891 | $50 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | 29d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 595.24 | $0.840 | $500 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 448.09 | $0.815 | $365 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 705.88 | $0.850 | $600 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 566.72 | $0.882 | $500 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.138 | $68.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.86K | $0.977 | $2.8K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 469.54 | $0.950 | $446.06 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 571.43 | $0.700 | $400 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 156.63 | $0.830 | $130 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 549.45 | $0.910 | $500 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 335.78 | $0.953 | $320 | Jul 26, 2026 |