Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 427.23 | $0.860 | $365.29 | -$2.14 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.400 | $0.24 | 2m ago |
|
| No |
| 150.81 |
| $0.940 |
| $141 |
| -$0.75 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 50.86 | $0.940 | $47.05 | -$0.75 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 39.19 | $0.945 | $36.64 | -$0.39 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 29.45 | $0.950 | $27.83 | -$0.15 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 29.34 | $0.890 | $25.82 | -$0.29 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 29.48 | $0.870 | $25.8 | +$0.15 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 29.81 | $0.870 | $25.78 | -$0.15 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 32.08 | $0.660 | $20.69 | -$0.48 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 19.52 | $0.940 | $18.16 | -$0.19 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 18.6 | $0.950 | $17.58 | -$0.09 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.1 | $0.940 | $16.93 | -$0.09 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 78.03 | $0.220 | $16.78 | -$0.39 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 90.36 | $0.230 | $16.72 | -$4.07 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 17.35 | $0.870 | $15.01 | -$0.09 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 41.37 | $0.320 | $13.65 | +$0.41 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 15.73 | $0.800 | $12.5 | -$0.08 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 18.85 | $0.676 | $12.44 | -$0.31 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 12.71 | $0.929 | $11.76 | -$0.05 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 11.39 | $0.962 | $11.3 | +$0.34 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50.76 | $0.240 | $11.17 | -$1.02 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 12.87 | $0.870 | $11.13 | -$0.07 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 12.97 | $0.840 | $10.83 | -$0.06 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 11.16 | $0.940 | $10.44 | -$0.06 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 10.51 | $0.960 | $10.18 | +$0.09 |
| sell |
| 2.16 |
| $0.360 |
| $0.78 |
| 3m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.69 | $0.390 | $2.22 | 6m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.62 | $0.360 | $1.3 | 6m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.62 | $0.360 | $1.3 | 6m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.62 | $0.360 | $1.3 | 6m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.9 | $0.360 | $0.68 | 6m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.710 | $0.62 | 7m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 2 | $0.730 | $1.46 | 8m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.710 | $0.32 | 8m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.710 | $0.32 | 8m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.730 | $3.6 | 11m ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.83 | $0.040 | $0.11 | 11m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 3.29 | $0.730 | $2.4 | 11m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 3.79 | $0.730 | $2.77 | 11m ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 20.27 | $0.136 | $2.76 | 17m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.620 | $6 | 17m ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 20.27 | $0.150 | $3.04 | 17m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.180 | $1.53 | 18m ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 4 | $0.130 | $0.52 | 18m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.47 | $0.360 | $2.33 | 22m ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | 23m ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 12.77 | $0.150 | $1.92 | 24m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.460 | $1.41 | 26m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 8.16 | $0.440 | $3.59 | 28m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.91 | $0.440 | $1.72 | 29m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.610 | $1.26 | 30m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.75 | $0.380 | $0.29 | 36m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.15 | $0.390 | $1.23 | 36m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.390 | $0.37 | 41m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.390 | $0.37 | 41m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.380 | $0.38 | 41m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 7.18 | $0.640 | $4.6 | 47m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | 52m ago |
 Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.790 | $0.79 | 58m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.537 | $1.08 | 1h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.840 | $1.72 | 1h ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.3 | $0.100 | $3.33 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 8.91 | $0.970 | $8.64 | 2h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.47 | $0.550 | $1.36 | 2h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.68 | $0.900 | $7.81 | 2h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.68 | $0.090 | $2.94 | 2h ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.360 | $1.13 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.740 | $5.76 | 2h ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.3 | $0.100 | $3.33 | 2h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.35 | $0.170 | $6.69 | 2h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.97 | $0.140 | $1.96 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.480 | $0.17 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 8.85 | $0.720 | $6.37 | 3h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.85 | $0.860 | $5.03 | 3h ago |