Analytics
Yes is at 5.3%, up 1.2 points from 4% when the market opened on 19 Aug 2026.
Across the 65 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 6.8% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.5%; a month before, 5.9%.
$6.9K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $135.06K since listing. The order book holds $23.52K, with a 4.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 462 trades, $2.53K bought Yes and $42.66K bought No; the largest was a $6.9K buy of No at 91.0¢.
The largest Yes position is meagainsttheworld with 4.3K shares; the largest No position is tetrase with 20.6K. Ten wallets hold 68.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 4.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 5.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tetrase | No | 20.56K |
| meagainsttheworld | Yes | 4.26K |
| hugecaulk | Yes | 3.83K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-december-31
| Guthix481 |
| Yes |
| 2.32K |
| Vietnam7 | No | 2K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 1.72K |
| Incompatible-Sinuosity | Yes | 1.39K |
| aviato | No | 1.14K |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 1.09K |
| Amber Pioneer 7F4E | Yes | 1.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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