Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, up 3.5 points from 7% when the market opened on 5 Aug 2026.
Across the 83 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 12.5% on 9 Aug 2026 and the lowest 6% on 6 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 12.5% on 9 Aug 2026.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?”.
$1.46K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.42K since listing. The order book holds $11.17K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 65 trades, $50.46 bought Yes and $1.72K bought No; the largest was a $1.28K sell of No at 89.8¢.
The largest Yes position is AiBird with 922 shares; the largest No position is i2dt with 424. Ten wallets hold 95.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 4:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 5 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | 7.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2028-20260803142755224
58 more markets, none above 56.0%.
| resilience26 |
| No |
| 113.01 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 30.09 |
| gonnakilmyslf | No | 30 |
| Ivory Horizon 895D | No | 28 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 27.5 |
| FortunaFelix | No | 21.97 |
| HE110W0R1D | No | 21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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