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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 211.91 | $0.693 | $153.64 | +$6.88 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.74 | $0.019 | $1 | 50m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.3K |
| $0.108 |
| $71.29 |
| -$69.47 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 425.27 | $0.168 | $61.88 | -$9.77 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 334.18 | $0.167 | $45.11 | -$10.62 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 57.45 | $0.488 | $30.16 | +$2.13 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 75.6 | $0.267 | $21.93 | +$1.74 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 30.87 | $0.567 | $19.6 | +$2.1 |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | Yes | 746.14 | $0.084 | $18.65 | -$43.66 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 123.64 | $0.178 | $16.07 | -$5.89 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 58.46 | $0.291 | $8.77 | -$8.23 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 85.54 | $0.096 | $8.13 | -$0.08 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 94.29 | $0.092 | $8.01 | -$0.65 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 9.99 | $0.555 | $7.94 | +$2.4 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 54.52 | $0.140 | $7.9 | +$0.29 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | Yes | 691.28 | $0.025 | $7.6 | -$9.86 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 20.35 | $0.222 | $6.72 | +$2.19 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | Yes | 132.97 | $0.100 | $5.98 | -$7.31 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 10.03 | $0.582 | $5.84 | +$0 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.01 | $0.830 | $3.98 | -$0.18 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 862.55 | $0.012 | $3.88 | -$6.4 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 6.69 | $0.597 | $3.78 | -$0.22 |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 51.74 | $0.019 | $2.02 | +$1.02 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 33.27 | $0.061 | $1.83 | -$0.19 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
| buy |
| 30.49 |
| $0.140 |
| $4.27 |
| 1h ago |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 28.28 | $0.060 | $1.7 | 1h ago |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.170 | $0.74 | 16h ago |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.92 | $0.119 | $7 | 17h ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | 17h ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.67 | $0.284 | $7 | 17h ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.72 | $0.965 | $20 | 17h ago |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 17h ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 17h ago |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 17h ago |
 Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.780 | $0.98 | 17h ago |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 17h ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Yes | sell | 21.77 | $0.189 | $4.11 | 17h ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.012 | $0.71 | 17h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.070 | $1 | 17h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.185 | $2 | 19h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 19h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.100 | $1.2 | 19h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 19h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.185 | $1 | 19h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 19h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 19h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 19h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 20h ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | 20h ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 26.78 | $0.270 | $7.23 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 48.86 | $0.020 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 16.84 | $0.740 | $12.46 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 27.31 | $0.037 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 36.79 | $0.027 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 25.93 | $0.270 | $7 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | buy | 22.42 | $0.200 | $4.48 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 161.59 | $0.054 | $8.68 | 2d ago |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 154.68 | $0.005 | $0.77 | 2d ago |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Yes | sell | 77.01 | $0.050 | $3.85 | 3d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.700 | $4.08 | 4d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 29.67 | $0.480 | $14.24 | 4d ago |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 381.8 | $0.006 | $2.29 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.22 | $0.180 | $2.74 | 4d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | sell | 27.63 | $0.430 | $11.88 | 5d ago |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Yes | sell | 25.3 | $0.032 | $0.81 | 5d ago |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.46 | $0.033 | $0.35 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.44 | $0.420 | $7.32 | 6d ago |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.28 | $0.610 | $5.05 | 6d ago |