Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | No | 162.3 | $0.620 | $82.77 | -$17.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.093 | $9.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 200.85 |
| $0.430 |
| $19.08 |
| -$67.29 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.56 | $0.520 | $17.7 | +$7.53 |
 Neutrl FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 67.6 | $0.440 | $10.48 | -$19.27 |
 Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? | Yes | 76.3 | $0.260 | $8.01 | -$11.83 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | Yes | 109.02 | $0.290 | $7.09 | -$24.53 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 90.51 | $0.090 | $5.88 | -$2.26 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | No | 29.42 | $0.140 | $4.27 | +$0.15 |
 Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? | No | 103.33 | $0.350 | $4.18 | -$31.98 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 200 | $0.520 | $3.1 | -$100.9 |
 Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 119.67 | $0.260 | $2.33 | -$28.78 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 62 | $0.080 | $1.92 | -$3.04 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 2.13 | $0.520 | $1.7 | +$0.59 |
 NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | No | 0.9 | $0.810 | $0.87 | +$0.14 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 0.97 | $0.480 | $0.81 | +$0.34 |
| Will Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? | Yes | 54.69 | $0.450 | $0.79 | -$23.82 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 0.75 | $0.280 | $0.69 | +$0.48 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.65 | $0.610 | $0.63 | +$0.24 |
 Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | No | 0.66 | $0.840 | $0.62 | +$0.07 |
| Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | No | 0.74 | $0.480 | $0.6 | +$0.24 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | Yes | 0.86 | $0.660 | $0.51 | -$0.05 |
 Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.52 | $0.870 | $0.48 | +$0.03 |
 Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | No | 0.58 | $0.380 | $0.47 | +$0.25 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | No | 0.51 | $0.600 | $0.42 | +$0.11 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.45 | $0.300 | $0.42 | +$0.28 |
| sell |
| 83 |
| $0.680 |
| $56.41 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?No | sell | 148.76 | $0.463 | $68.92 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.383 | $76.57 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 149 | $0.430 | $64.07 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 130 | $0.617 | $80.16 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | sell | 109 | $0.310 | $33.79 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 200 | $0.897 | $179.4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 200 | $0.828 | $165.6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.650 | $130 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.760 | $1.19 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.876 | $175.2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.396 | $1.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.406 | $81.28 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.170 | $5.78 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.094 | $0.47 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.613 | $61.26 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?No | sell | 39 | $0.897 | $35 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 200 | $0.642 | $128.43 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 173 | $0.190 | $32.87 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.180 | $8.82 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 7 | $0.569 | $3.98 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | sell | 27 | $0.500 | $13.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.591 | $30.73 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.142 | $2.84 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 42.3 | $0.340 | $14.38 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.259 | $2.85 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.047 | $0.94 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 64.7 | $0.210 | $13.59 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 26 | $0.710 | $18.46 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.810 | $13.77 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.861 | $47.34 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.858 | $19.73 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.140 | $7.28 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.140 | $10.36 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 20 | $0.711 | $14.22 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.860 | $64.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.870 | $19.14 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.862 | $32.77 | Mar 10, 2026 |