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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 21.51 | $0.930 | $19.68 | -$0.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No | buy | 24.51 | $0.979 | $24 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 13.83 |
| $0.940 |
| $13.53 |
| +$0.53 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.913 | $9.55 | +$0.42 |
 Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $8.6 | -$1.4 |
| buy |
| 11 |
| $0.909 |
| $10 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.913 | $9.13 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 11.17 | $0.824 | $9.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 19?No | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 19?No | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?No | buy | 20.21 | $0.940 | $19 | May 26, 2026 |
 Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.895 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?No | buy | 13.86 | $0.938 | $13 | May 26, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 13.83 | $0.940 | $13 | May 26, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | May 26, 2026 |
| Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | May 26, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 27.95 | $0.870 | $24.32 | May 26, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 42.34 | $0.856 | $36.24 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 178.11 | $0.250 | $44.53 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 27.96 | $0.930 | $26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 42.35 | $0.945 | $40 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.99 | $0.300 | $6.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.100 | $300 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 38.91 | $0.630 | $24.51 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.690 | $19.16 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.610 | $15.25 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.996 | $1.13 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.810 | $2.41 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.955 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?No | buy | 60.48 | $0.992 | $60 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | sell | 1.49 | $0.810 | $1.21 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jan 2, 2026 |