Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? | No | 90.71 | $0.685 | $57.6 | -$4.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | 20d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 179.91 |
| $0.319 |
| $55.59 |
| -$1.78 |
 Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP? | Yes | 79.79 | $0.923 | $52.78 | -$20.87 |
 Will Paper Rex Win an International Event in 2026? | Yes | 237 | $0.280 | $50.96 | -$15.41 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | No | 80.49 | $0.650 | $50.31 | -$2.01 |
 Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? | Yes | 50 | $0.932 | $45.95 | -$0.65 |
 Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next? | No | 40 | $0.820 | $35.58 | +$2.78 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | Yes | 184 | $0.251 | $31.37 | -$14.81 |
 Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.486 | $24.73 | +$0.43 |
 Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? | Yes | 257 | $0.180 | $24.67 | -$21.59 |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.490 | $24.55 | +$0.05 |
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? | No | 50 | $0.460 | $23.75 | +$0.75 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 40 | $0.600 | $23.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will All Gamers Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? | No | 23 | $0.140 | $22.77 | +$19.54 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 50 | $0.470 | $22.75 | -$0.75 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 50.85 | $0.460 | $22.63 | -$0.77 |
 Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 40 | $0.600 | $21.4 | -$2.6 |
 Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | No | 49.82 | $0.420 | $20.68 | -$0.25 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 40 | $0.570 | $20.6 | -$2.2 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.440 | $20.25 | -$1.75 |
 Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.620 | $19.75 | +$7.35 |
 Will Shea Langeliers hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | No | 20 | $0.670 | $19.71 | +$6.31 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 20 | $0.860 | $19.68 | +$2.48 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.400 | $19.25 | -$0.75 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher? | No | 20 | $0.830 | $19.1 | +$2.5 |
| buy |
| 9.8 |
| $0.510 |
| $5 |
| 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETUp | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | 20d ago |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20.61 | $0.110 | $2.27 | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 17.39 | $0.210 | $3.65 | 20d ago |
 Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.350 | $7.35 | 20d ago |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 293 | $0.449 | $131.51 | 20d ago |
 Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 226 | $0.250 | $56.5 | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.720 | $82.8 | 20d ago |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?No | sell | 290.73 | $0.360 | $104.77 | 20d ago |
 Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 244.3 | $0.700 | $171.01 | 20d ago |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 303 | $0.780 | $236.34 | 20d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 123 | $0.350 | $43.05 | 21d ago |
 Will Fenerbahce qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.360 | $4.68 | 21d ago |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 21d ago |
 Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 40 | $0.690 | $27.6 | 21d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 49 | $0.650 | $31.85 | 21d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.220 | $7.26 | 21d ago |
 Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | sell | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | 22d ago |
 Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | 22d ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.110 | $4.4 | 22d ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.090 | $0.81 | 22d ago |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.125 | $1.25 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 12?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | 28d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?No | sell | 214 | $0.999 | $213.79 | 28d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?No | sell | 214 | $0.999 | $213.79 | 28d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?No | sell | 214 | $0.999 | $213.79 | 28d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 12?No | sell | 214 | $0.999 | $213.79 | 28d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 12?No | sell | 214.03 | $0.999 | $213.82 | 28d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 10?No | sell | 142.66 | $0.999 | $142.52 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?Yes | sell | 66.6 | $0.999 | $66.53 | 29d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 10?Yes | sell | 174.79 | $0.999 | $174.62 | 29d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 10?No | sell | 214.82 | $0.999 | $214.61 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10?No | sell | 215.4 | $0.999 | $215.08 | 29d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?Yes | sell | 154.08 | $0.999 | $153.93 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 10?No | sell | 214 | $0.999 | $213.79 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 9?No | sell | 108 | $0.999 | $107.89 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 9?Yes | sell | 144.16 | $0.995 | $143.44 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 9?Yes | sell | 214 | $0.999 | $213.79 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?No | sell | 214 | $0.999 | $213.79 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8?No | sell | 107.96 | $0.999 | $107.85 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 8?No | sell | 143 | $0.999 | $142.86 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 8?No | sell | 132 | $0.999 | $131.83 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 7?No | sell | 132.65 | $0.999 | $132.52 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 7?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7?No | sell | 154.16 | $0.994 | $153.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?Yes | sell | 214 | $0.998 | $213.57 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.999 | $114.89 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?No | sell | 214 | $0.999 | $213.79 | Aug 7, 2026 |