Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31? | No | 13 | $0.120 | $11.84 | +$10.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.220 | $1.54 | 29d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.050 |
| $10.35 |
| +$8.85 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 25 | $0.060 | $9.36 | +$7.86 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.249 | $5.55 | +$4.05 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.250 | $5.4 | +$3.9 |
 Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | No | 9 | $0.160 | $5.27 | +$3.83 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.200 | $5.24 | +$3.64 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.160 | $5.09 | +$3.65 |
 Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 39 | $0.038 | $5.03 | +$3.55 |
 Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | Yes | 8 | $0.200 | $4.72 | +$3.12 |
 Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.290 | $4.63 | +$3.18 |
 Will seltzers with 5mg THC be legal on November 13, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.300 | $4.63 | +$3.13 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 6 | $0.240 | $4.53 | +$3.09 |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | No | 7 | $0.230 | $4.41 | +$2.8 |
 Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 25 | $0.061 | $4.39 | +$2.86 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.280 | $4.23 | +$2.83 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 5 | $0.290 | $4.23 | +$2.78 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 39 | $0.038 | $4.15 | +$2.67 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 60 | $0.025 | $3.84 | +$2.34 |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | No | 41 | $0.037 | $3.59 | +$2.07 |
 Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | No | 14 | $0.110 | $3.57 | +$2.03 |
| Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? | Yes | 7 | $0.220 | $3.43 | +$1.89 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | No | 22 | $0.067 | $3.39 | +$1.91 |
 Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? | Yes | 19 | $0.080 | $3.38 | +$1.86 |
 Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31? | Yes | 7 | $0.230 | $3.36 | +$1.75 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.240 |
| $1.44 |
| 29d ago |
 Will Trump say "America First" during Tele-Rally?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.155 | $1.55 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.282 | $1.41 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600B on August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.299 | $1.49 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio say "Nuclear" during Fox News: My View appearance?No | buy | 6 | $0.240 | $1.44 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.182 | $1.46 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US x China tariff agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will PAM get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.180 | $1.44 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.160 | $1.44 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.228 | $1.6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.269 | $1.61 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast say "Wife" during his next YouTube video?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.200 | $1.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.180 | $1.44 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Alix Earle attend an F1 race in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.200 | $1.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 4?No | buy | 8 | $0.200 | $1.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.180 | $1.44 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.250 | $1.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Shrek 5 be delayed?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.240 | $1.44 | Jul 28, 2026 |