Analytics
Yes is at 57%, down 23 points from 80% when the market opened on 2 Jun 2026.
Across the 140 daily closes on record from 2 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 92% on 28 Jun 2026 and the lowest 46% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 52%; a month before, 70.5%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 51% on 14 Aug 2026.
$16.29 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.39K since listing. The order book holds $1.67K, with a 20.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 346 trades, $1.14K bought Yes and $244.87 bought No.
The largest Yes position is pljeskavicalover with 156 shares; the largest No position is Odysseus7 with 192. Ten wallets hold 53% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 140 points, 2 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2026 | 80.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Odysseus7 | No | 192.06 |
| pljeskavicalover | Yes | 155.54 |
| CoreyTrevor | Yes | 134.07 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify. A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify. This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-banksy-create-a-new-mural-or-street-artwork-by-december-31
| 979216 |
| Yes |
| 123.53 |
| SDODNDPD | Yes | 112.74 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 110 |
| Bumpy-Underground-Codling | No | 82.91 |
| Crimson Beacon 63E7 | No | 70.02 |
| Bright Horizon 8C34 | No | 67.72 |
| djijkk88 | Yes | 64.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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