Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 68.99 | $0.364 | $34.67 | +$9.53 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 25 |
| $0.528 |
| $11.38 |
| -$1.82 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | No | 25 | $0.220 | $10.38 | +$4.88 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | $0.497 | $9.3 | -$0.65 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 9.51 | $0.641 | $9.18 | +$3.09 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.850 | $8.65 | +$0.15 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.754 | $5.9 | -$1.65 |
 Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South? | Yes | 25 | $0.210 | $5.38 | +$0.13 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | Yes | 10 | $0.490 | $5.2 | +$0.3 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10 | $0.510 | $5.15 | +$0.05 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.92 | +$0.42 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.890 | $4.86 | +$0.41 |
 Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 10 | $0.420 | $4.85 | +$0.65 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.380 | $4.85 | +$1.05 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | Yes | 6 | $0.410 | $4.83 | +$2.37 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | Yes | 10 | $0.470 | $4.8 | +$0.1 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.05 | $0.723 | $4.78 | +$1.13 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | Yes | 15 | $0.363 | $4.73 | -$0.73 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.73 | +$0.08 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | $0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.68 | +$0.03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 5 | $0.820 | $4.68 | +$0.58 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 10, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.920 | $4.68 | +$0.08 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.67 | +$0.02 |
 Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 10 | $0.430 | $4.65 | +$0.35 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.400 |
| $2 |
| 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 2d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 4d ago |
 Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 4d ago |
 Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 4d ago |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during RNC Convention?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 4d ago |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.956 | $4.78 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 25 | $0.220 | $5.5 | 6d ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.945 | $4.73 | 6d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 6d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 6d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 6d ago |
 Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | 6d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 6d ago |
 US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump post "Allah" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 7d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 7d ago |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | 7d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | 7d ago |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | 7d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | 7d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.230 | $5.75 | 7d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 7d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | 7d ago |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 7d ago |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.145 | $2.9 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 7d ago |
| Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 7d ago |
 Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-09-02?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 7d ago |
 Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 7d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.935 | $4.68 | 7d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 7d ago |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 7d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | 7d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | 7d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 7d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 7d ago |
 Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 7d ago |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 7d ago |
| Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 7d ago |