Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 11.23K | $0.200 | $9.04K | +$6.79K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 2.22K | $0.760 | $1.69K | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 10K |
| $0.576 |
| $7.1K |
| +$1.34K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 5K | $0.486 | $4.93K | +$2.5K |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.76K | $0.330 | $4.38K | +$2.81K |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $38.55 | -$36.59 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $10.71 | -$64.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $2.14 | -$73 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $2.14 | -$73 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $2.14 | -$73 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $2.14 | -$73 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.053 | $0.71 | -$74.43 |
| sell |
| 6.6K |
| $0.760 |
| $5.02K |
| 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 2.05K | $0.999 | $2.04K | 1d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.100 | $142.77 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.750 | $1.07K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.449 | $1.5K | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | sell | 320 | $0.994 | $318.08 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 7.32K | $0.850 | $6.22K | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.1K | $0.008 | $62.36 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.300 | $398.58 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.284 | $344.36 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.06K | $0.999 | $2.06K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.576 | $184.4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 609 | $0.517 | $314.63 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 7.32K | $0.427 | $3.13K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.64K | $0.285 | $2.18K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 8.71K | $0.989 | $8.61K | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 3.41K | $0.360 | $1.23K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 5.02K | $0.950 | $4.77K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 426.13 | $0.640 | $272.59 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.486 | $2.43K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.630 | $1.01K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 20.05K | $0.200 | $4.01K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 10K | $0.406 | $4.06K | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.613 | $864.07 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 10K | $0.576 | $5.76K | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.24K | $0.347 | $2.86K | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 4.32K | $0.719 | $3.11K | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 620.23 | $0.140 | $86.83 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 3.29K | $0.800 | $2.63K | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.800 | $1.39K | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 8.71K | $0.590 | $5.14K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.620 | $655.24 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |