Analytics
Royal Orbit E104 is down $571.18 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 177.79 | $0.140 | $40 | +$15.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
37 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 06:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 06:04 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.18K and losing ones cost $54.87 across the latest 50 settled positions. 96% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $75.08 on “Bonn: Max Schoenhaus vs Federico Agustin Gomez” (Federico Agustin Gomez); the largest loss, $31.41 on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 412 markets. Its open positions are worth $595.12 across 37 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 51.02 |
| $0.490 |
| $37.5 |
| +$12.5 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 78 | $0.160 | $34.71 | +$22.23 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 43 | $0.290 | $33.33 | +$20.86 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 50 | $0.250 | $31.25 | +$18.75 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 32.84 | $0.760 | $30.05 | +$5.09 |
 USMCA extended in 2026? | No | 31.39 | $0.790 | $28.88 | +$4.08 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 71 | $0.350 | $28.76 | +$3.91 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | No | 56 | $0.220 | $28.62 | +$16.3 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 861.72 | $0.029 | $28.01 | +$3.02 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 27.36 | $0.888 | $27.07 | +$2.77 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 26.57 | $0.910 | $25.81 | +$1.63 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 29.7 | $0.830 | $24.2 | -$0.45 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 85.52 | $0.290 | $21.81 | -$2.99 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 22 | $0.550 | $20.24 | +$8.14 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 52 | $0.240 | $18.72 | +$6.24 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 18.27 | $0.660 | $17.62 | +$5.56 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 19.3 | $0.640 | $16.5 | +$4.15 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 19.3 | $0.630 | $16.12 | +$3.96 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 13 | $0.900 | $12.55 | +$0.85 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 14 | $0.840 | $12.04 | +$0.28 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.56 | $0.640 | $11.97 | +$0.09 |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.250 | $11.75 | -$0.75 |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 10.16 | $0.933 | $10.05 | +$0.57 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 10.26 | $0.932 | $9.99 | +$0.43 |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
