Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:53 PM UTC.
Analytics
Royal Orbit E104 is down $571.18 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 4:53 PM UTC.
$7.36 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 38 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Sep 27, 2026 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 177.79 | $0.140 | $43.56 | +$18.67 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.740 | $11.84 | 8d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
37 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 16:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 16:53 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.18K and losing ones cost $54.87 across the latest 50 settled positions. 96% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $75.08 on “Bonn: Max Schoenhaus vs Federico Agustin Gomez” (Federico Agustin Gomez); the largest loss, $31.41 on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 412 markets. Its open positions are worth $610.03 across 37 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.250 |
| $38.5 |
| +$26 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 78 | $0.160 | $36.27 | +$23.79 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 43 | $0.290 | $35.26 | +$22.79 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 51.02 | $0.490 | $35.2 | +$10.2 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 32.84 | $0.760 | $30.05 | +$5.09 |
 USMCA extended in 2026? | No | 31.39 | $0.790 | $28.88 | +$4.08 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 861.72 | $0.029 | $28.01 | +$3.02 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | No | 56 | $0.220 | $27.97 | +$15.65 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 71 | $0.350 | $27.69 | +$2.84 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 27.36 | $0.888 | $27.11 | +$2.81 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 26.57 | $0.910 | $25.8 | +$1.62 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 29.7 | $0.830 | $24.2 | -$0.45 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 85.52 | $0.290 | $22.66 | -$2.14 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 52 | $0.240 | $22.36 | +$9.88 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 22 | $0.550 | $20.24 | +$8.14 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 18.27 | $0.660 | $18 | +$5.94 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 19.3 | $0.640 | $16.5 | +$4.15 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | No | 19.3 | $0.630 | $16.12 | +$3.96 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 13 | $0.900 | $12.56 | +$0.86 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 14 | $0.840 | $12.04 | +$0.28 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 18.56 | $0.640 | $11.97 | +$0.09 |
 Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.250 | $11.75 | -$0.75 |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 10.16 | $0.933 | $10.06 | +$0.58 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 10.26 | $0.932 | $9.98 | +$0.42 |
| sell |
| 14 |
| $0.930 |
| $13.02 |
| 10d ago |
 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper RuudLearner Tien | buy | 25.86 | $0.290 | $7.5 | 14d ago |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-AliassimePablo Carreno Busta | sell | 29 | $0.270 | $7.83 | 14d ago |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-AliassimePablo Carreno Busta | buy | 29.12 | $0.250 | $7.28 | 14d ago |
 Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah FernandezLeylah Fernandez | sell | 14 | $0.520 | $7.28 | 14d ago |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah FernandezLeylah Fernandez | buy | 14.28 | $0.500 | $7.14 | 14d ago |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes | buy | 208 | $0.060 | $12.48 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes | buy | 13.14 | $0.920 | $12.09 | 14d ago |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes | buy | 31.41 | $0.361 | $11.34 | 15d ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No | buy | 14.16 | $0.860 | $12.18 | 15d ago |
| Jinan: Omar Jasika vs Petr Bar BiryukovPetr Bar Biryukov | buy | 41.17 | $0.180 | $7.41 | 15d ago |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi ZhouYi Zhou | buy | 26.96 | $0.270 | $7.28 | 15d ago |
| Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Mananchaya SawangkaewAnna Bondar | buy | 28.04 | $0.260 | $7.29 | 15d ago |
| Jinan: Semen Pankin vs Yosuke WatanukiSemen Pankin | buy | 23 | $0.320 | $7.36 | 15d ago |
| Wuning 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Alibek KachmazovJay Dylan Friend | buy | 12.43 | $0.560 | $6.96 | 15d ago |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Yunchaokete BuLuca Van Assche | buy | 36.75 | $0.200 | $7.35 | 18d ago |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida AguilarDaniel Merida Aguilar | buy | 36.67 | $0.189 | $6.93 | 18d ago |
 M25 Darwin: Moerani Bouzige vs Jesse DelaneyJesse Delaney | buy | 36.75 | $0.200 | $7.35 | 18d ago |
| W50 Heraklion: Martha MATOULA vs Elena Ruxandra BerteaMartha MATOULA | sell | 15 | $0.330 | $4.95 | 18d ago |
| W50 Heraklion: Martha MATOULA vs Elena Ruxandra BerteaMartha MATOULA | buy | 15.17 | $0.480 | $7.28 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 18.56 | $0.640 | $11.88 | 18d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.820 | $12.3 | 21d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.130 | $12.48 | 23d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.390 | $14.82 | 23d ago |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena FrechMagdalena Frech | buy | 19.5 | $0.380 | $7.41 | 24d ago |
| China Open: Taylah Preston vs Diane ParryDiane Parry | buy | 14.27 | $0.510 | $7.28 | 24d ago |
| China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen KhachanovAlex Molcan | buy | 32 | $0.230 | $7.36 | 24d ago |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas | buy | 41.89 | $0.169 | $7.08 | 24d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 52 | $0.240 | $12.48 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.740 | $11.84 | 25d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.212 | $11.66 | 26d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | sell | 19 | $0.947 | $18 | 27d ago |
| Bari: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Adrian OetzbachAdrian Oetzbach | buy | 33.45 | $0.220 | $7.36 | 28d ago |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos GironJaume Munar | sell | 19 | $0.990 | $18.81 | 28d ago |
| China Open, Qualification: Shiyu Ye vs Linda FruhvirtovaShiyu Ye | buy | 13.05 | $0.538 | $7.02 | 28d ago |
| China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit KoprivaVit Kopriva | sell | 16 | $0.400 | $6.4 | 28d ago |
| China Open, Qualification: Shiyu Ye vs Linda FruhvirtovaShiyu Ye | sell | 27 | $0.100 | $2.7 | 28d ago |
| China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit KoprivaVit Kopriva | buy | 16.73 | $0.440 | $7.36 | 28d ago |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime FariaShintaro Mochizuki | sell | 62 | $0.100 | $6.2 | 28d ago |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jaime FariaShintaro Mochizuki | buy | 62 | $0.120 | $7.44 | 28d ago |
| Jingshan: Haruka Kaji vs Emerson JonesHaruka Kaji | buy | 83 | $0.090 | $7.47 | 28d ago |
| China Open, Qualification: Shiyu Ye vs Linda FruhvirtovaShiyu Ye | buy | 28.04 | $0.260 | $7.29 | 28d ago |
| China Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marco TrungellitiMarco Trungelliti | sell | 75 | $0.570 | $42.75 | 28d ago |
| China Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marco TrungellitiMarco Trungelliti | buy | 75 | $0.100 | $7.5 | 28d ago |
| China Open, Qualification: Robin Montgomery vs Maria Aran Teixido GarciaMaria Aran Teixido Garcia | buy | 107 | $0.070 | $7.49 | 28d ago |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos GironJaume Munar | buy | 19 | $0.380 | $7.22 | 28d ago |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis ShapovalovAdrian Mannarino | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | 29d ago |
| Bari: Riccardo Trione vs Adrian OetzbachRiccardo Trione | buy | 74.05 | $0.099 | $7.36 | 29d ago |
| Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis ShapovalovAdrian Mannarino | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 29d ago |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.