Analytics
Resolved Denis Shapovalov on 27 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Denis Shapovalov at 68.5%. The Adrian Mannarino side opened at 31.5% on 26 Sep 2026. $399.77K traded over the market's life.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 11:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Adrian Mannarino price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 27 Sep 2026, chart shows 26%–38%
| Observed | Adrian Mannarino price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 31.5% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Adrian Mannarino | 10.12K |
| Tobias1909 | Adrian Mannarino | 8.93K |
| Reliable-Giggle | Adrian Mannarino | 5.54K |
| Ghipolito | Adrian Mannarino | 4.31K |
| Exalted-Evocation | Adrian Mannarino | 4.13K |
| Stavaharon | Adrian Mannarino | 2.18K |
| w... | Adrian Mannarino | 1.77K |
| TRCM | Adrian Mannarino | 1.09K |
| GzzBabyGzz | Adrian Mannarino | 923.07 |
| Lastdance67888990 | Adrian Mannarino | 906.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mannari-shapova-2026-09-26
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
