Analytics
Resolved Casper Ruud on 12 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Casper Ruud at 40.5%. The Learner Tien side opened at 56.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 12 Oct 2026, the highest close was 59.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 11 Oct 2026. $343.27K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 6:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Learner Tien price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Learner Tien price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 56.5% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kkunn | Learner Tien | 65.58K |
| kkookkoo | Learner Tien | 12.56K |
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Learner Tien | 8.62K |
| Justluck9 | Learner Tien | 7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Casper Ruud in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tien-ruud-2026-10-11
| MrBently | Learner Tien | 6.01K |
| Horrible-Recording | Learner Tien | 6K |
| Nikos888 | Learner Tien | 4.96K |
| Rapid Atlas 5E4E | Learner Tien | 4.76K |
| pltrkr111 | Learner Tien | 3.45K |
| Quiet Vector E330 | Learner Tien | 3.27K |
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