Analytics
Resolved Felix Auger-Aliassime on 12 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Felix Auger-Aliassime at 74.5%. The Pablo Carreno Busta side opened at 26.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 26.5% on 11 Oct 2026 and the low 25.5% on 12 Oct 2026. $510.23K traded over the market's life.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 6:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Pablo Carreno Busta price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Pablo Carreno Busta price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kkunn | Pablo Carreno Busta | 67.07K |
| MrBently | Pablo Carreno Busta | 8K |
| Nikos888 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 5.62K |
| AnonymousUsername | Pablo Carreno Busta | 3.75K |
| hi774c | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.72K |
| Juan12345678 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.45K |
| miracleAddamo | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.22K |
| Lilybaeum | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.05K |
| GC-P | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1.01K |
| eskk | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-busta-augeral-2026-10-11
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