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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 925.24 | $0.738 | $633.79 | -$49.19 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.430 | $0.93 | 4m ago |
|
| No |
| 819.13 |
| $0.650 |
| $540.63 |
| +$8.35 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 543.85 | $0.848 | $500.61 | +$39.3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 393.49 | $0.890 | $384.44 | +$34.23 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 396.96 | $0.780 | $325.51 | +$15.88 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 326.1 | $0.880 | $291.86 | +$4.89 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 308.19 | $0.590 | $201.86 | +$20.03 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 230.19 | $0.840 | $196.82 | +$3.45 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 404.71 | $0.500 | $188.19 | -$14.16 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 198.44 | $0.880 | $179.59 | +$4.96 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 214.35 | $0.820 | $176.84 | +$1.07 |
 Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | Yes | 225.77 | $0.859 | $171.59 | -$22.41 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 369.44 | $0.365 | $160.71 | +$25.87 |
 Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 180.01 | $0.838 | $145.81 | -$4.98 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 294.83 | $0.435 | $122.35 | -$5.91 |
 Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | Yes | 118.49 | $0.835 | $107.24 | +$8.3 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 119.59 | $0.905 | $107.03 | -$1.21 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 119.84 | $0.900 | $106.06 | -$1.8 |
 Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | No | 189.5 | $0.573 | $105.17 | -$3.42 |
 Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? | No | 146.16 | $0.877 | $103.04 | -$25.16 |
 Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | Yes | 139.28 | $0.912 | $99.58 | -$27.4 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | No | 134.68 | $0.800 | $86.19 | -$21.55 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 91.08 | $0.760 | $72.41 | +$3.19 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 132.56 | $0.569 | $69.59 | -$5.82 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 149.21 | $0.430 | $64.91 | +$0.78 |
| sell |
| 17.89 |
| $0.430 |
| $7.69 |
| 4m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.430 | $0.05 | 6m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.430 | $0.06 | 8m ago |
 Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Yes | buy | 44.43 | $0.337 | $14.99 | 9m ago |
 Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?No | buy | 55.08 | $0.762 | $41.97 | 9m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.430 | $0.03 | 10m ago |
 Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 17.71 | $0.847 | $15 | 11m ago |
 Will Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?No | buy | 65.71 | $0.639 | $42 | 11m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.430 | $0.05 | 11m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.430 | $0.06 | 11m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.430 | $0.11 | 13m ago |
 Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 16.89 | $0.199 | $3.35 | 14m ago |
 Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.810 | $2.25 | 15m ago |
 Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Yes | buy | 68.29 | $0.290 | $19.8 | 15m ago |
| Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?No | buy | 30.42 | $0.740 | $22.51 | 15m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.430 | $0.05 | 16m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.430 | $0.28 | 17m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 13.18 | $0.430 | $5.67 | 18m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.430 | $0.43 | 18m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 84.9 | $0.430 | $36.51 | 18m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.430 | $0.05 | 18m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.430 | $1.02 | 18m ago |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.220 | $0.07 | 18m ago |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.220 | $0.22 | 18m ago |
 Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.210 | $1.5 | 19m ago |
 Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes | sell | 23.84 | $0.550 | $13.11 | 19m ago |
 Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.400 | $7.5 | 19m ago |
 Will Aaron Orlando win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.300 | $0.39 | 20m ago |
 Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.730 | $5.25 | 20m ago |
| Will Aaron Orlando win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.62 | $0.300 | $0.79 | 21m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.430 | $0.42 | 21m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.430 | $0.73 | 21m ago |
 Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes | sell | 18.35 | $0.510 | $9.36 | 22m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.420 | $0.67 | 23m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.420 | $0.01 | 23m ago |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.88 | $0.220 | $0.19 | 23m ago |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.220 | $0.22 | 23m ago |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.220 | $0.22 | 24m ago |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 0.77 | $0.220 | $0.17 | 24m ago |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.220 | $0.22 | 24m ago |
| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.76 | $0.220 | $0.61 | 24m ago |
| Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.14 | $0.740 | $7.5 | 25m ago |
| Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Yes | buy | 29.25 | $0.770 | $22.52 | 26m ago |
 Will Capitão Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Yes | sell | 2.35 | $0.110 | $0.26 | 26m ago |
| Will Capitão Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.110 | $0.68 | 26m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 235.76 | $0.420 | $99.02 | 41m ago |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes | sell | 70.11 | $0.300 | $21.03 | 42m ago |
| Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes | sell | 0.63 | $0.610 | $0.38 | 1h ago |
| Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes | sell | 4.55 | $0.610 | $2.78 | 1h ago |