Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 23% on 12 Oct 2026. $20K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.48K |
| kp12345 | Yes | 3.21K |
| Tenebrus7 | Yes | 999.97 |
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fall-elections-three-way-brazil-israel-us-senate-combo
| Quarzo | Yes | 800 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 445.73 |
| chickendinner69 | Yes | 345.65 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 312.79 |
| Kutoba | Yes | 294 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 240 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 199.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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