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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 28 | $0.710 | $21.42 | +$1.54 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.13 | $0.356 | $7.87 | 5m ago |
 |
| No |
| 34 |
| $0.580 |
| $20.74 |
| +$1.02 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 27 | $0.740 | $20.12 | +$0.14 |
 Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | No | 24.92 | $0.803 | $19.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 26 | $0.760 | $19.63 | -$0.13 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 25 | $0.800 | $19.5 | -$0.5 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 35.09 | $0.568 | $19.48 | -$0.46 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 32.05 | $0.620 | $19.39 | -$0.48 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 29 | $0.680 | $19 | -$0.73 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 26.07 | $0.760 | $18.9 | -$0.91 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 23.71 | $0.830 | $17.31 | -$2.37 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | No | 29.28 | $0.683 | $16.69 | -$3.31 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 21.18 | $0.543 | $11.44 | -$0.06 |
 Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane? | No | 16.51 | $0.390 | $6.19 | -$0.25 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.820 | $5.22 | +$0.3 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 8.17 | $0.480 | $3.92 | $0 |
 Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election? | Yes | 7.2 | $0.460 | $3.82 | +$0.5 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.746 | $1.01 | +$0.19 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.91 | $0.550 | $0.86 | +$0.36 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 0.12 | $0.417 | $0.04 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 21.18 |
| $0.543 |
| $11.5 |
| 6h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No | buy | 29 | $0.680 | $19.72 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.568 | $19.94 | 9h ago |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.295 | $4.43 | 14h ago |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 15h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.550 | $13.2 | 15h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.84 | $0.590 | $17.02 | 16h ago |
 Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?No | sell | 15.45 | $0.493 | $7.62 | 18h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 32.17 | $0.480 | $15.44 | 19h ago |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?No | sell | 35.55 | $0.461 | $16.39 | 20h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.14 | $0.576 | $12.75 | 23h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 27 | $0.740 | $19.98 | 1d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.760 | $19.76 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 29.28 | $0.683 | $20 | 1d ago |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 12.16 | $0.232 | $2.82 | 1d ago |
| Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.540 | $11.34 | 1d ago |
| Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes | buy | 28.2 | $0.460 | $12.97 | 1d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.870 | $15.66 | 1d ago |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?No | buy | 24.92 | $0.803 | $20 | 2d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 28 | $0.710 | $19.88 | 2d ago |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.503 | $17.1 | 2d ago |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | buy | 26.07 | $0.760 | $19.81 | 2d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | 2d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | sell | 27 | $0.700 | $18.9 | 2d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.41 | $0.710 | $5.97 | 2d ago |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 46.16 | $0.433 | $20 | 2d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 33.27 | $0.640 | $21.29 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 25.33 | $0.730 | $18.49 | 3d ago |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 30.98 | $0.420 | $13.01 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.18 | $0.750 | $18.13 | 3d ago |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.390 | $19.89 | 3d ago |
 Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 27 | $0.730 | $19.71 | 3d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.820 | $19.68 | 3d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.42 | $0.540 | $18.05 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 23.71 | $0.830 | $19.68 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 32.05 | $0.620 | $19.87 | 3d ago |
 Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.760 | $20.54 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.84 | $0.690 | $19.9 | 4d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | sell | 28.16 | $0.700 | $19.71 | 4d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.440 | $6.59 | 4d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.790 | $18.96 | 4d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 27.98 | $0.690 | $19.31 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.446 | $8.03 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.98 | $0.544 | $13.05 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.600 | $16.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.580 | $19.72 | 4d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.720 | $17.28 | 4d ago |