Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 30 points from 47% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 151 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.5% on 3 Aug 2026 and the lowest 13% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15%; a month before, 22.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 39% on 2 Sep 2026.
No meeting by December 31 ranks second of the 15 outcomes in “Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?”. China leads at 80%; Russia is at 0.6%.
$6.97K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $536.05K since listing. The order book holds $75.11K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $5.23K bought Yes and $7.26K bought No.
The largest Yes position is balthazar with 13.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 60.1K. Ten wallets hold 64.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 27 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 47.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 60.11K |
| balthazar | Yes | 13.05K |
| Fulgurator | No | 9.69K |
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678
3 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| 1nvoker1 |
| Yes |
| 9K |
| Zenjibar | Yes | 6.74K |
| NotQuetions | Yes | 6.57K |
| Odysseus7 | Yes | 4.3K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 4.07K |
| fpjsqj | No | 4.05K |
| JoeBlack01 | Yes | 3.84K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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