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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 11.5K | $0.663 | $8.57K | +$944.53 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 128.61 | $0.240 | $30.87 | 7h ago |
|
| No |
| 7.7K |
| $0.591 |
| $5.62K |
| +$1.07K |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 4K | $0.482 | $2.3K | +$373.18 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 2.42K | $0.677 | $2.17K | +$527.67 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 9K | $0.245 | $1.75K | -$454.97 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 1.91K | $0.790 | $1.65K | +$143.24 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 2K | $0.740 | $1.57K | +$88 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.89K | $0.728 | $1.5K | +$126.42 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.7K | $0.844 | $1.47K | +$36.19 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.7K | $0.389 | $1.45K | -$764.37 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 3.84K | $0.537 | $1.36K | -$699.42 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 1.57K | $0.696 | $1.24K | +$154.89 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.14K | $0.876 | $1.06K | +$55.66 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 999.46 | $0.684 | $967.98 | +$284.33 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.845 | $945 | +$100 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.788 | $935.08 | +$146.68 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.679 | $905.3 | +$225.59 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.821 | $854.5 | +$33.5 |
 Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.312 | $737.5 | -$42.49 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 800 | $0.803 | $700 | +$57.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 9.55K | $0.098 | $620.48 | -$310.43 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 671.41 | $0.575 | $614.34 | +$228.37 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.699 | $612.5 | +$123.5 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 910 | $0.672 | $596.05 | -$15.95 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.610 | $525 | -$85 |
| buy |
| 2.91K |
| $0.685 |
| $1.99K |
| 7h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.003 | $9 | 7h ago |
 Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.76 | $0.380 | $13.59 | 8h ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 1K | $0.870 | $870 | 8h ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.03K | $0.220 | $884.94 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 542.91 | $0.790 | $428.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.130 | $3.12 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 568.47 | $0.475 | $270 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 351.22 | $0.129 | $45.15 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 604.23 | $0.454 | $274.35 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 296.34 | $0.723 | $214.32 | 1d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 38.53 | $0.420 | $16.18 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 158.55 | $0.481 | $76.29 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 463.96 | $0.510 | $236.62 | 7d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.041 | $20.5 | 7d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.040 | $200 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 821.91 | $0.750 | $616.43 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.100 | $107 | 8d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 112 | $0.669 | $74.89 | 8d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.700 | $6.3 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.710 | $713.55 | 9d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 400.01 | $0.993 | $397.21 | 9d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 760.69 | $0.680 | $517.27 | 9d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.910 | $909.99 | 9d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.680 | $339.99 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.910 | $909.99 | 9d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 372.89 | $0.680 | $253.57 | 9d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.997 | $498.49 | 9d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 227.76 | $0.680 | $154.88 | 9d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.690 | $1.04K | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.36K | $0.994 | $1.35K | 9d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1K | $0.740 | $740 | 9d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1K | $0.740 | $740 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.94K | $0.995 | $1.93K | 9d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1K | $0.740 | $740 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.995 | $1.09K | 9d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.150 | $300 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | 9d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 69.99 | $0.926 | $64.79 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 487.33 | $0.391 | $190.55 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 208.12 | $0.395 | $82.21 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | sell | 498.48 | $0.997 | $496.98 | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | sell | 1K | $0.998 | $998 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.49K | 9d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.310 | $62 | 10d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 229 | $0.620 | $141.98 | 11d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 538.7 | $0.500 | $269.35 | 12d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.520 | $104 | 12d ago |