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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 41.2K | $0.466 | $18.33K | -$857.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 15.3K |
| $0.870 |
| $14.15K |
| +$841.34 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 10K | $0.885 | $9.85K | +$995 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 15K | $0.447 | $6.82K | +$125.13 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 9K | $0.694 | $6.7K | +$455 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 6.76K | $0.677 | $5.92K | +$1.34K |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.710 | $4.68K | +$1.13K |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 7.15K | $0.353 | $2.54K | +$10.65 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 2K | $0.795 | $1.98K | +$393 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 4.2K | $0.422 | $1.24K | -$533.45 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | No | 1K | $0.924 | $997.09 | +$72.51 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 999.99 | $0.805 | $934.99 | +$130 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 4.43K | $0.240 | $553.97 | -$509.65 |
 Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 687.79 | $0.778 | $550.23 | +$15.04 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 544.58 | $0.758 | $465.62 | +$52.87 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.699 | $460.24 | +$110.75 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 498.53 | $0.391 | $304.1 | +$109.31 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 709.29 | $0.510 | $180.87 | -$180.82 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.51K | $0.260 | $143.68 | -$249.55 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.87K | $0.108 | $140.06 | -$62.16 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.245 | $93.89 | -$193.38 |
 Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.510 | $28.05 | +$12.75 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 92.58 | $0.277 | $13.42 | -$12.27 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 1.33K | $0.098 | $10.68 | -$119.89 |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | No | 10.12 | $0.631 | $8.86 | +$2.47 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.905 |
| $36.2 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | 1d ago |
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 3.47K | $0.830 | $2.88K | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes | buy | 45.93 | $0.499 | $22.91 | 4d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 3.16K | $0.461 | $1.46K | 4d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.301 | $313.83 | 4d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Yes | buy | 452.6 | $0.380 | $171.89 | 4d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.108 | $202.21 | 4d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.510 | $15.3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 93 | $0.982 | $91.34 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 98 | $0.997 | $97.71 | 6d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.925 | $1.33K | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.125 | $125.08 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 209.99 | $0.330 | $69.3 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 209.72 | $0.280 | $58.72 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.233 | $70 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 14.87K | $0.224 | $3.33K | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.56K | $0.178 | $811.84 | 7d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.790 | $126.4 | 7d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | sell | 26.19 | $0.800 | $20.95 | 7d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | sell | 266.38 | $0.811 | $215.93 | 7d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.810 | $4.06 | 7d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.84 | $0.810 | $29.84 | 7d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 7d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | buy | 332.87 | $0.747 | $248.57 | 7d ago |
| Blue wave in 2026?Yes | buy | 75.66 | $0.730 | $55.23 | 7d ago |
 Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.216 | $473.03 | 7d ago |
| Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 110.61 | $0.190 | $20.96 | 7d ago |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?No | buy | 598.99 | $0.188 | $112.79 | 7d ago |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Yes | buy | 6.5K | $0.920 | $5.98K | 7d ago |
| Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Yes | buy | 947.23 | $0.900 | $852.51 | 7d ago |
 Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | buy | 6.31K | $0.904 | $5.71K | 7d ago |
 Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 51.78 | $0.811 | $42.01 | 8d ago |
 Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.980 | $1.57K | 8d ago |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?Yes | buy | 5.63K | $0.950 | $5.35K | 8d ago |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?Yes | buy | 13.68K | $0.830 | $11.35K | 8d ago |
| Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 795.59 | $0.750 | $596.69 | 9d ago |
 Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?No | buy | 2.51K | $0.750 | $1.88K | 9d ago |
| Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 625.34 | $0.740 | $462.75 | 9d ago |
| Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 6.11K | $0.730 | $4.46K | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.04K | $0.530 | $1.61K | 12d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 263.57 | $0.587 | $154.71 | 13d ago |
 Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.610 | $912.35 | 14d ago |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 6.34 | $0.780 | $4.95 | 14d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.679 | $1.06K | 14d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 7.76 | $0.630 | $4.89 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 3.84K | $0.640 | $2.46K | 17d ago |