Analytics
Yes is at 72.5%, up 16 points from 56% when the market opened on 4 Jun 2026.
The high was 77.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the low 25.5% on 21 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 44%; a month ago, 61%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 73% on 7 Oct 2026.
$1.79K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $361.61, with a 19.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 133 trades, $404.43 bought Yes and $346.99 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Corridor with 127 shares; the largest No position is Projeto32 with 133. Ten wallets hold 64.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 80 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 13, 4:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 132 points · 4 Jun 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2026 | 56.0% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-an-artwork-sell-for-150-million-by-december-31
| aliiz |
| Yes |
| 99.09 |
| nellojello | No | 50 |
| frozenriver | Yes | 46.95 |
| Jniroxx | Yes | 44.97 |
| tomatosauce2 | No | 44 |
| otakakot | Yes | 35.53 |
| xnxvlmray | No | 33.9 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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