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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | No | 2.59K | $0.438 | $2.49K | +$1.35K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 150 | $0.360 | $54 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.09K |
| $0.611 |
| $1.25K |
| -$28.51 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 1.24K | $0.741 | $986.04 | +$67.27 |
 Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | No | 864.65 | $0.822 | $760.89 | +$50.53 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 832.12 | $0.796 | $711.46 | +$49.04 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 750 | $0.720 | $678.75 | +$138.86 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.628 | $655 | +$27.29 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 1.01K | $0.504 | $492.27 | -$18.99 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 740 | $0.676 | $492.1 | -$7.9 |
 Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 1.39K | $0.175 | $486.43 | +$243.85 |
 Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 471.99 | $0.800 | $377.59 | -$0.2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.497 | $303 | +$5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 389.61 | $0.770 | $294.16 | -$5.84 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | No | 278.77 | $0.870 | $276.4 | +$33.87 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | No | 270 | $0.311 | $264.74 | +$180.71 |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026? | No | 259 | $0.548 | $226.37 | +$84.31 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | No | 1.5K | $0.108 | $202.5 | +$40.15 |
 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September? | No | 288 | $0.526 | $149.76 | -$1.88 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300.02 | $0.615 | $139.51 | -$45.05 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | Yes | 308.46 | $0.366 | $115.67 | +$2.87 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 369.47 | $0.189 | $112.69 | +$42.69 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 5.41K | $0.016 | $100.1 | +$12.47 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September? | No | 309 | $0.244 | $80.34 | +$4.97 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Yes | 117 | $0.551 | $71.96 | +$7.53 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September? | No | 900 | $0.096 | $67.5 | -$18.5 |
| buy |
| 98.04 |
| $0.051 |
| $5 |
| 1h ago |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 554.91 | $0.180 | $100 | 2h ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 292.46 | $0.360 | $105.29 | 2h ago |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 81.43 | $0.540 | $44 | 2h ago |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?No | buy | 64 | $0.268 | $17.13 | 2h ago |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?No | buy | 700 | $0.080 | $56 | 2h ago |
 Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 2h ago |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September?No | buy | 188 | $0.530 | $99.64 | 2h ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.470 | $7.52 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September?No | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?No | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?No | buy | 245 | $0.238 | $58.24 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?No | buy | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | 1d ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.949 | $19.93 | 1d ago |
 Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 189 | $0.990 | $187.11 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41K | $0.016 | $87.63 | 6d ago |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 92.92 | $0.985 | $91.56 | 6d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | buy | 407.38 | $0.038 | $15.45 | 6d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Yes | buy | 203.57 | $0.059 | $12 | 6d ago |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 369.47 | $0.189 | $70 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | 6d ago |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.994 | $40.75 | 6d ago |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 465.91 | $0.178 | $82.79 | 8d ago |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.500 | $85 | 8d ago |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 99.7 | $0.568 | $56.63 | 8d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 389.61 | $0.770 | $300 | 8d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 740 | $0.676 | $500 | 8d ago |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 305.88 | $0.843 | $258 | 8d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 338.84 | $0.443 | $150 | 8d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | 8d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | buy | 130 | $0.856 | $111.27 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.612 | $979.06 | 8d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.001 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 895.03 | $0.006 | $5 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 971.15 | $0.021 | $20 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 9d ago |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.630 | $94.52 | 9d ago |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 367 | $0.163 | $59.79 | 9d ago |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.820 | $36.08 | 9d ago |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?No | buy | 259 | $0.548 | $142.06 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.628 | $627.71 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 492.96 | $0.609 | $300 | 10d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.267 | $533.5 | 10d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | buy | 459.99 | $0.827 | $380.63 | 10d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | buy | 270 | $0.311 | $84.02 | 10d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.428 | $856.04 | 10d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 180 | $0.690 | $124.2 | 10d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.490 | $196 | 10d ago |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?No | buy | 207.99 | $0.788 | $163.81 | 10d ago |