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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | Yes | 20 | $0.820 | $15.3 | -$1.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 22m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.740 |
| $14.1 |
| -$0.7 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 50 | $0.270 | $13.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? | No | 87.75 | $0.158 | $3.51 | -$10.38 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 3.55 | $0.930 | $3.34 | +$0.04 |
 Will "By Any Means" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 40 | $0.240 | $3 | -$6.6 |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 52 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 15.4 | $0.250 | $2.31 | -$1.54 |
 Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 2.73 | $0.700 | $1.9 | -$0.01 |
 Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP? | No | 4.48 | $0.144 | $1.5 | +$0.86 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.180 | $1.5 | -$2.1 |
 Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? | No | 2.22 | $0.460 | $0.97 | -$0.06 |
 Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.780 | $0.92 | -$0.07 |
 Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.646 | $0.85 | -$0.07 |
| Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election? | No | 2.74 | $0.290 | $0.83 | +$0.04 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | No | 14.91 | $0.060 | $0.44 | -$0.45 |
 Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? | No | 3 | $0.032 | $0.02 | -$0.08 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.1 | $0.118 | $0.01 | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 0.11 | $0.110 | $0 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.161 |
| $3.22 |
| 2h ago |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?No | sell | 20 | $0.162 | $3.24 | 2h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.930 | $37.2 | 3h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.870 | $52.2 | 5h ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.770 | $46.2 | 8h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 119.18 | $0.720 | $85.81 | 14h ago |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | 17h ago |
 Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.935 | $9.35 | 18h ago |
 LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?No | sell | 20.5 | $0.170 | $3.49 | 20h ago |
 Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | 23h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.914 | $36.56 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | 1d ago |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 1d ago |
 Will Leigh Gray win the next Brighton mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?No | sell | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Jeff Fawcett win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | 1d ago |
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 1d ago |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.05 | $0.033 | $1.02 | 1d ago |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?No | sell | 55 | $0.913 | $50.22 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.121 | $0.62 | 1d ago |
 Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?No | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.896 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 15.4 | $0.150 | $2.31 | 1d ago |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 1d ago |
 Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?No | sell | 10 | $0.047 | $0.47 | 2d ago |
| Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?No | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | 2d ago |
| Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have between 6 and 7 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 2d ago |
 Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 59 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?No | sell | 10 | $0.785 | $7.85 | 2d ago |
 Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.738 | $7.38 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 2d ago |
| Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 2d ago |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.111 | $2.22 | 3d ago |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?No | sell | 10 | $0.057 | $0.57 | 3d ago |
| Will Drake release a new album by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.924 | $4.62 | 3d ago |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | 3d ago |
| Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.170 | $1.53 | 3d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 3d ago |