Analytics
Yes is at 53.5%, up 41 points from 12.5% at 21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC.
Across 13 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC, the highest read was 80.5% on 22 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC and the lowest 12.5% on 21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC.
$3.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.22K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 48 trades, $1.08K bought Yes and $508.39 bought No.
The largest Yes position is austingriffith with 834 shares; the largest No position is -Dominus- with 390. Ten wallets hold 72.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 71 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 4:28 PM UTC
Hourly closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 21 Oct, 22:00 UTC – 22 Oct, 16:00 UTC
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 22:00 UTC | 12.5% |
| 22 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 53.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| austingriffith | Yes | 833.93 |
| -Dominus- | No | 389.75 |
| DeverNoom | Yes | 282.51 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bryan Johnson announces that he has dunked a basketball, as accepted by him as a successful completion of his challenge, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Bryan Johnson or his team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bryan-johnson-dunk-before-2027-2
| Adventurous-Cribbage |
| No |
| 243.24 |
| mewmew1 | No | 200 |
| mmmbop | No | 160 |
| darkestpool | Yes | 147.06 |
| AJSV | No | 120 |
| Verified.Counts | No | 105 |
| TTT0777 | Yes | 102 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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