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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 961.86 | $0.744 | $899.34 | +$183.61 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 19h ago |
 |
| No |
| 600 |
| $0.976 |
| $583.5 |
| -$2.2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 665.99 | $0.814 | $569.42 | +$27.28 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? | No | 467.9 | $0.932 | $428.59 | -$7.54 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.59K | $0.121 | $413.21 | -$21.99 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Yes | 419.99 | $0.954 | $395.84 | -$4.85 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.815 | $370 | +$44 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 799.95 | $0.306 | $366.78 | +$121.75 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.875 | $352 | +$2 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 444.01 | $0.641 | $304.14 | +$19.54 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 450 | $0.601 | $290.25 | +$19.75 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.870 | $280.5 | +$19.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.780 | $274.5 | +$40.5 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 577.37 | $0.577 | $271.37 | -$61.69 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 600 | $0.537 | $267 | -$55 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.943 | $199.3 | +$10.7 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.860 | $190.1 | +$18.1 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 200 | $0.786 | $174.8 | +$17.6 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.07K | $0.214 | $165.28 | -$62.87 |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 167.17 | $0.955 | $162.74 | +$3.09 |
 Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31? | No | 180.62 | $0.919 | $161.66 | -$4.34 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.128 | $159.71 | -$81.59 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | Yes | 200 | $0.813 | $151.8 | -$10.8 |
 Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | No | 152.56 | $0.815 | $146.53 | +$22.2 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? | No | 153 | $0.824 | $140 | +$13.97 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.005 |
| $1 |
| 2d ago |
 Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 251.52 | $0.994 | $250 | 2d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.957 | $38.28 | 5d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.956 | $38.24 | 5d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.957 | $38.28 | 5d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.955 | $95.5 | 5d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 9d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Yes | buy | 35.06 | $0.970 | $34 | 10d ago |
 Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 28?Yes | buy | 52.76 | $0.040 | $2.09 | 11d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?No | buy | 85.21 | $0.950 | $80.97 | 13d ago |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?No | buy | 135.05 | $0.160 | $21.61 | 14d ago |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 30.27 | $0.995 | $30.12 | 17d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 13.78 | $0.780 | $10.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?No | buy | 63.78 | $0.914 | $58.32 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.970 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX say "Data Center" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 50.06 | $0.999 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.970 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX say "Data Center" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.970 | $15.52 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX say "Tesla" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 13.88 | $0.650 | $9.02 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.419 | $2.2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.160 | $0 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Yes | buy | 260.2 | $0.148 | $38.55 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants AND Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals | buy | 11.97 | $0.828 | $9.91 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend AND Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In | buy | 3.32 | $0.591 | $1.96 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims) AND UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | buy | 7.68 | $0.251 | $1.93 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.800 | $53.6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No | buy | 60.1 | $0.798 | $47.98 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No | buy | 40.56 | $0.770 | $31.23 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on July 24?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.300 | $18 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 38.88 | $0.966 | $37.55 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.870 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.815 | $8.15 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 276.64 | $0.680 | $188.12 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 30.27 | $0.960 | $29.06 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 38.79 | $0.960 | $37.24 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 213.33 | $0.938 | $200 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will BTS perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | buy | 301.51 | $0.995 | $300 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will IShowSpeed perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No | buy | 77.95 | $0.880 | $68.6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. England: Team to Win | sell | 5.04 | $0.036 | $0.18 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $80k at auction?Yes | buy | 147.15 | $0.999 | $147 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jul 17, 2026 |