Analytics
Yes is at 95.2%, up 2.2 points from 93% when the market opened on 22 Aug 2026.
Across the 65 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.6% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 86.5% on 15 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 97.5%; a month before, 93.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 87.5% on 23 Aug 2026.
November 30 is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “GTA VI released by...?”, ahead of October 31 at 0.1%.
$648.15 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $107.21K since listing. The order book holds $16.88K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $22.39K bought Yes and $2.2K bought No; the largest was a $2.79K buy of Yes at 93.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Cobalt Sphinx AB2C with 7.4K shares; the largest No position is qwertykeyboard with 25K. Ten wallets hold 75.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 34 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 22 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | 93.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 95.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qwertykeyboard | No | 25K |
| Cobalt Sphinx AB2C | Yes | 7.45K |
| grinder1011 | No | 6.16K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gta-vi-released-before-november-2026
| Jjw |
| Yes |
| 6.01K |
| maritime6307 | No | 5.7K |
| AlexiosV | Yes | 4.51K |
| thoodr | Yes | 3.17K |
| QMG-CORE | Yes | 3K |
| iamgood898 | Yes | 2.5K |
| Another-Allowance | Yes | 1.9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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